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AFL

Patrick Dangerfield

Geelong Cats

+3.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -667 (1.15)
+3.7% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Sat 14 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+3.7%
Predicted Value
17.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Over 10.5 Disposals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player in the AFL for disposals, Patrick Dangerfield stands out like a beacon in the night. With his recent form at GMHBA Stadium showing an average of 19.6 disposals over his last five home games, it's clear he thrives in front of the Geelong faithful. Facing off against Fremantle, against whom he's averaged 17.5 disposals in their last five encounters, Dangerfield is poised to dominate the midfield once again. His ability to gather possessions efficiently (68.9% disposal efficiency at home) and cover the ground (344.8 metres gained on average) showcases his impact on the game. With a model prediction of 17.1 disposals and a strong historical hit rate, taking Patrick Dangerfield to go over 10.5 disposals is as safe a bet as you'll find in footy this weekend.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 52.0% (26/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 10.5 Over -667 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 10.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 10.5 Over -667 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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