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AFL

Patrick Dangerfield

Geelong Cats

+15.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -200 (1.50)
+15.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 12 Jun, 9:40AM
Model Probability
81.7%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+15.0%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Patrick Dangerfield stands out like a shining star under Geelong's Friday night lights. In his last five home games, Dangerfield has been a scoring machine, averaging a cool 1.4 goals per game with a sharp 68.0% goal accuracy. His recent form is red-hot, with a flawless hit rate over the last five home matches and a perfect streak of nine goals in his bag. Facing Gold Coast Suns, a team he typically performs well against, Dangerfield is poised to capitalize on his 2.4 shots at goal average and 2.6 marks inside 50 per game. The model predicts he'll hit the back of the net at least once, making the Over 0.5 goals bet on Dangerfield a tantalizing prospect for footy punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 30.0% (3/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Disposals 10.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Disposals 11.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 30.0% (3/10). The latest model pick for Patrick Dangerfield is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Geelong Cats on Friday 12 June at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.