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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Florent is Under 23.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 58%, implied 53%, edge +18.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:20AM UTC
AFL

Oliver Florent

Carlton

+18.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 23.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+18.3% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
20.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.2% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +18.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.2%57.7%52.9%1.73+18.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Oliver Florent (Carlton) Under 23.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL player props, the devil's in the details. Oliver Florent, the dynamo from Carlton Blues, heads to Marvel Stadium to take on St Kilda Saints. Recent form shows he's been a midfield maestro, averaging 21 disposals in his last five away games. However, against St Kilda, he typically dips slightly, averaging 21 disposals in their matchups. The line is set at 23.5, but with Florent's recent performances hovering just below that mark, the under seems like a smart play. With his contested possessions at 4 and a disposal efficiency of 78.2%, he may fall just short in this showdown. Trust the numbers, and snag the under on Florent's disposals for this clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Oliver Florent averaged 20.2 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.0 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

20.2
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.0
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Home / away and opponent splits

Oliver Florent is averaging 26.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

26.4
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oliver Florent recorded 24 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions24051
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide23050
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS19051
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows22152
16 Aug 24Essendon231100
9 Aug 24Collingwood12143
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide16041
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs21033
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions22063
13 Jul 24North Melbourne19053
Quick answers:How many disposals does Oliver Florent average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 17.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 16.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Florent (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Florent is Under 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.3% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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