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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Florent is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +8.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Oliver Florent

Carlton

+8.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -244 (1.41)
+8.7% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
79.6%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+8.7%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.6%—70.9%1.26+8.7%

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AI Analysis

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Oliver Florent (Carlton) Over 18.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player prop bet that's as safe as houses, look no further than Oliver Florent snagging over 18.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Carlton and Richmond at the MCG. The stats don't lie – in his last five away games, Florent has been a disposal machine, averaging a tidy 19.2 possessions. Against Richmond, he's even more prolific, boasting an average of 23.5 disposals in their recent meetings. With a knack for finding his teammates with 76.8% disposal efficiency and covering serious ground with 346.8 metres gained on average, Florent is set to split the middle with this line. Backing him to eclipse 18.5 disposals is as textbook as it gets in footy betting. Trust in Florent to deliver the goods when it matters most.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.1avg disposals recent
Season best28
Disposals last 10avg 20.1 · hi 24 · lo 12
19222116122322192324

Oliver Florent has a disposals high of 28 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 18.5 Over -244 ✗ MISS
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 17.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 16.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Florent (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Florent is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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