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AFL

Nathan O'Driscoll

Fremantle

Value call

Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
17.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.2% · before adjusting for past results 70.2% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +6.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Nathan O'Driscoll
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan O'Driscoll is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 5:52PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.2%58.2%51.8%2.07+18.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Nathan O'Driscoll recorded 20 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide20144
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS5011
15 Jul 23Collingwood7011
17 Jun 23GWS GIANTS14062
10 Jun 23Richmond15034
27 May 23Melbourne15044
20 May 23Geelong Cats200102
13 May 23Sydney Swans13050
6 May 23Hawthorn20081
29 Apr 23Brisbane Lions14143
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 12.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 14.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 13.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan O'Driscoll is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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