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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan O'Driscoll is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 70%, edge +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:27AM UTC
AFL

Nathan O'Driscoll

Fremantle

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+0.4% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
17.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.4% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +0.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.4%52.3%69.9%1.91+0.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nathan O'Driscoll is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against Carlton. His recent form paints a picture of dominance, averaging 16.8 disposals in his last five away games, well above the set line of 14.5. With a knack for finding the footy, his 80.5% disposal efficiency and 8.6 kicks per game showcase his impact on the field. Against Carlton specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 11.5 disposals in their last five encounters. O'Driscoll's ability to read the play is evident in his 2.4 intercepts per game. Backed by his consistent performance, the smart money is on O'Driscoll to surpass the 14.5 disposal mark and make a significant impact for the Fremantle Dockers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Nathan O'Driscoll recorded 20 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide20144
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS5011
15 Jul 23Collingwood7011
17 Jun 23GWS GIANTS14062
10 Jun 23Richmond15034
27 May 23Melbourne15044
20 May 23Geelong Cats200102
13 May 23Sydney Swans13050
6 May 23Hawthorn20081
29 Apr 23Brisbane Lions14143
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan O'Driscoll is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 22 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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