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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan O'Driscoll is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 77%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 1:24PM UTC
AFL

Nathan O'Driscoll

Fremantle

Value call

Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 11.5 that pays $128 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
Value call
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
17.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.5% · before adjusting for past results 86.2% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap -1.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals86.2%76.5%78.1%1.31+8.1%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Nathan O'Driscoll Over 11.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Nathan O'Driscoll has been on a solid run lately, and he's part of a Fremantle team that has won 7 of their last 10 games. Fremantle is scoring an impressive average of 44.6 points before half-time in their recent matches, so they're likely to keep the pressure on. With their strong form, betting on O'Driscoll to get over 11.5 disposals seems like a good call. The Geelong Cats are no slouches either, as they also have a solid average of 55.7 points before half-time. The main risk is that both teams are pretty close in their performance, which could mean a tougher contest for O'Driscoll. Still, our numbers strongly favor this bet, making it a smart pick for the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Nathan O'Driscoll recorded 20 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide20144
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS5011
15 Jul 23Collingwood7011
17 Jun 23GWS GIANTS14062
10 Jun 23Richmond15034
27 May 23Melbourne15044
20 May 23Geelong Cats200102
13 May 23Sydney Swans13050
6 May 23Hawthorn20081
29 Apr 23Brisbane Lions14143
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 14.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 13.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 12.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Nathan O'Driscoll (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan O'Driscoll is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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