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AFL

Mark O'Connor

Geelong Cats

Value call

Mark O'Connor (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 1.5 marks that pays $125 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
4.7 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.7% · before adjusting for past results 90.6% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap -1.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Mark O'Connor
over 1.5 marks
Marks Over 1.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.50 Odds-400
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark O'Connor is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 80%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 3:22AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks90.6%78.7%80.0%1.27+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Mark O'Connor Over 1.5 Marks (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark O'Connor has been in great form lately, showing he can make his mark on the game. He's been getting inside the 50 a lot more than usual, and our numbers say he should get over 1.5 marks in this match against Fremantle. With a goal accuracy much higher than average, he's looking good to find the ball and make an impact at Optus Stadium. The biggest risk here is that Fremantle's defense can be tough, and they might limit his opportunities. Still, everything points to O'Connor being a strong pick to get those marks. It looks like this one could go his way, but remember, there are no guarantees in sports.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Mark O'Connor averaged 11.9 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.8 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

11.9
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.8
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (29 Jun 24 vs Essendon), Mark O'Connor recorded 6 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
29 Jun 24Essendon6031
21 Jun 24Carlton9032
9 Jun 24Sydney Swans16092
1 Jun 24Richmond15032
16 May 24Gold Coast SUNS12041
10 May 24Port Adelaide14031
27 Apr 24Carlton6024
20 Apr 24Brisbane Lions16156
14 Apr 24North Melbourne15195
6 Apr 24Western Bulldogs5010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 11.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 10.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mark O'Connor (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark O'Connor is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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