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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark O'Connor is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 80%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 22, 8:06PM UTC
AFL

Mark O'Connor

Geelong Cats

Value call

Mark O'Connor (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: Marks Over 1.5 that pays $125 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
Value call
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
4.6 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.2% · before adjusting for past results 90.2% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap -1.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks90.2%78.2%80.0%1.28+10.2%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Mark O'Connor Over 1.5 Marks (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark O'Connor has been pretty solid lately, with good averages for goal assists and pressure acts at GMHBA Stadium. He's been on the field a lot, which gives him plenty of chances to make an impact. Given that Fremantle has been winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring well before half-time, O'Connor should find opportunities to rack up over 1.5 marks. The Geelong Cats have also been performing well, but O'Connor's role and the way he's been playing really stand out. The biggest risk here is how competitive Fremantle has been, meaning the game could be tight. Still, the numbers suggest he's a strong pick for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Mark O'Connor averaged 11.9 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.8 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

11.9
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.8
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (29 Jun 24 vs Essendon), Mark O'Connor recorded 6 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
29 Jun 24Essendon6031
21 Jun 24Carlton9032
9 Jun 24Sydney Swans16092
1 Jun 24Richmond15032
16 May 24Gold Coast SUNS12041
10 May 24Port Adelaide14031
27 Apr 24Carlton6024
20 Apr 24Brisbane Lions16156
14 Apr 24North Melbourne15195
6 Apr 24Western Bulldogs5010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 11.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 10.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mark O'Connor (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark O'Connor is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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