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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark O'Connor is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +8.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL

Mark O'Connor

Geelong Cats

+8.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -108 (1.93)
+8.0% Edge
Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 1 Jun, 9:20AM
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Model Probability
59.8%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
15.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals59.8%51.8%1.67+8.0%

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AI Analysis

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Mark O'Connor (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark O'Connor is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals in the upcoming away game against the West Coast Eagles based on his recent form. With a solid average of 16.4 disposals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he typically reaches 14 disposals, O'Connor's consistency is evident. His current hit streak and overall hit rate further support this prediction. Despite a slight variability in his stats, the model's prediction of 15.8 disposals and a favorable edge of 8.0% indicate a strong likelihood of him surpassing the 14.5 line. O'Connor's ability to contribute in both contested and uncontested possessions, coupled with his decent disposal efficiency, makes this bet on him a sensible choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.4avg disposals recent
Season best20
Disposals last 10avg 11.4 · hi 16 · lo 5
5151661412151696

Mark O'Connor has a disposals high of 20 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mark O'Connor (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark O'Connor is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 1 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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