Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Luke Parker

North Melbourne

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -303 (1.33)
+0.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Model Probability
75.3%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
23.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Luke Parker (North Melbourne) Over 20.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want consistency and impact, and that's exactly what Luke Parker brings to the table. Playing at the familiar Barossa Park, Parker has been a midfield maestro for the Kangaroos. Over his last five home games, he's been averaging a whopping 26.4 disposals, comfortably surpassing the 20.5 line set for this clash against the Lions. Parker's ability to find the footy in contested situations, coupled with his impressive disposal efficiency of 74.0%, makes him a reliable choice to hit the Over. His recent form against Brisbane, averaging 23.3 disposals in their last five matchups, further solidifies his case. With a current hit streak of three at home and an overall hit rate of 6 out of the last 7 games, Parker is primed to continue his ball-winning ways and provide a solid return on the Over 20.5 disposals bet.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 100.0% (5/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 17.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Luke Parker (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (5/5). The latest model pick for Luke Parker is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.