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AFL

Lachie Ash

GWS GIANTS

+0.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -115 (1.87)
+0.7% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 7 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
54.2%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+0.7%
Predicted Value
26.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) Under 26.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When assessing Lachie Ash's recent form, it's evident he's been a solid contributor for Greater Western Sydney at home, averaging 22.6 disposals over his last five games. However, facing Hawthorn, who he averages 23.4 disposals against, could prove challenging. With a line set at 26.5 disposals, there's a compelling case for the under. In his last five home games, Ash has hit below 26.5 disposals twice, showcasing a vulnerability to fall short of this threshold. His recent turnover average of 4.4 per game suggests he might struggle against Hawthorn's pressure. While his metres gained are impressive, turnovers and contested possessions could limit his overall disposal count. Considering the matchup dynamics and Ash's historical performance variability, the under 26.5 disposals bet for Lachie Ash appears to hold significant value in this Saturday's game at ENGIE Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (44 picks) 79.5% (35/44)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 26.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 26.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 27.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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