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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachie Ash is Over 24.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 76%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 5:56AM UTC
AFL

Lachie Ash

GWS GIANTS

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+0.2% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 8:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
28.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.6% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.6%76.3%1.31+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) Over 24.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to a reliable performer like Lachie Ash, the numbers paint a clear picture. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 30.2 disposals, well above the 24.5 line set for this clash against Port Adelaide. Ash's ability to find the footy is unmatched, with his 72.2% disposal efficiency ensuring he maximizes every possession. Facing off against the Power, who he's historically tallied 21 disposals on average, Ash is poised to not just hit but potentially surpass the 24.5 mark. With a streak of 19 out of 20 away games hitting this target and an overall hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 games, Ash is a prime candidate to snag a plethora of possessions in this bout. A bet on Ash to go Over 24.5 disposals is as safe as houses.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Lachie Ash averaged 20.3 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

20.3
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.3
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Lachie Ash recorded 16 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions16131
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans16034
17 Aug 24Fremantle20075
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions22052
4 Aug 24Hawthorn23062
27 Jul 24Melbourne22032
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS23030
14 Jul 24Richmond21033
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows26062
22 Jun 24Sydney Swans20082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 24.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 23.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 22.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachie Ash is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 1 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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