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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachie Ash is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 89%, edge +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 8:37PM UTC
AFL

Lachie Ash

GWS GIANTS

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+1.5% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 8:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
28.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.8% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap +1.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.8%—89.3%1.10+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) Over 21.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliability in the midfield, Lachie Ash is a name you can trust. Setting foot on Adelaide Oval, he's not just looking to play; he's set to dominate. With an average of 30.2 disposals in his last five away games, Ash isn't just a contributor; he's a game-changer. His precision is undeniable, boasting a 72.2% disposal efficiency rate. Facing Port Adelaide, whom he's averaged 20 disposals against, Ash is poised to surpass the 21.5 mark comfortably. His recent form speaks volumes, with an impressive hit streak of 20 in away games and 18 overall. Don't just bet on numbers; bet on a player who defines consistency and excellence in every possession he touches. Ash is primed to shine, making the Over on his disposals a bet you can't afford to miss.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Lachie Ash averaged 20.3 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

20.3
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.3
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Lachie Ash recorded 16 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions16131
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans16034
17 Aug 24Fremantle20075
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions22052
4 Aug 24Hawthorn23062
27 Jul 24Melbourne22032
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS23030
14 Jul 24Richmond21033
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows26062
22 Jun 24Sydney Swans20082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 21.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 22.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 21.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachie Ash is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 1 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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