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AFL

Lachie Ash

GWS GIANTS

+18.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 28.5 -125 (1.80)
+18.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sun 12 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
73.8%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+18.2%
Predicted Value
25.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) Under 28.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Lachie Ash hitting the under on 28.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between the Greater Western Sydney Giants and the Richmond Tigers, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five home games, Ash has been solid but has only hit an average of 26.4 disposals. Despite showing a consistent performance, he tends to fall just short of the 28.5 mark. Plus, facing off against Richmond, who have been able to limit his disposal numbers to an average of 23.6 over their last five encounters, further strengthens the case for the under. With Ash's recent form and historical data against Richmond, the under on 28.5 disposals looks like a solid bet to snag a win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 66.7% (6/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 28.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 26.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 27.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
17 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
12 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (6/9). The latest model pick for Lachie Ash is Under 28.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 12 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.