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AFL

Lachie Ash

GWS GIANTS

Value call

Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) has one live pick today: over 22.5 disposals that pays $117 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
28.1 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 87.0% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +1.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 6:35 PM AEST
Lachie Ash
over 22.5 disposals
Disposals Over 22.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
Value call
HIGHWins about 87 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$11.70 Odds-588
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachie Ash is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 87%, the price says 85%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:02PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.0%—85.5%1.15+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) Over 22.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in a solid AFL player prop bet, you can't overlook Lachie Ash for the Giants. This young gun has been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up disposals in his last five away games, averaging a whopping 30.2 touches per match. Facing Port Adelaide, who he's previously averaged 20 disposals against, Ash is poised to shine. With his recent form boasting a stellar 72.2% disposal efficiency and a solid 18.6 kicks per game, it's clear he's in the zone. Add in his impressive hit streaks of 20 on the road and 18 overall, and it's hard to ignore his potential to surpass the 22.5 line set by the bookies. So, if you're looking for a reliable bet with a strong statistical backing, backing Ash to go over 22.5 disposals is a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Lachie Ash averaged 20.3 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

20.3
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.3
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Lachie Ash recorded 16 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions16131
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans16034
17 Aug 24Fremantle20075
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions22052
4 Aug 24Hawthorn23062
27 Jul 24Melbourne22032
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS23030
14 Jul 24Richmond21033
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows26062
22 Jun 24Sydney Swans20082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 22.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 21.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 23.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lachie Ash (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachie Ash is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 1 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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