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AFL

Jye Caldwell

Essendon

Value call

Jye Caldwell (Essendon) has one live pick today: over 16.5 disposals that pays $159 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
19.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.8% · the book's price implies 62.9% · gap +9.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 3:15 PM AEST
Jye Caldwell
over 16.5 disposals
Disposals Over 16.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.90 Odds-169
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jye Caldwell is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:05PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.8%—62.9%1.37+9.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jye Caldwell (Essendon) Over 16.5 Disposals (-169)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Jye Caldwell stands out like a beacon in the night sky. The young gun has been a midfield maestro for the Essendon Bombers, consistently racking up possessions like they're going out of fashion. In his last five home games, Caldwell has been a disposal magnet, averaging a cool 17.8 touches per outing. Facing off against St Kilda, a team he's historically dominated with a 20 disposals average in their recent encounters, Caldwell is poised for another standout performance at Marvel Stadium. With his handballing prowess, contested possession tenacity, and impressive disposal efficiency, hitting over 16.5 disposals should be a walk in the park for this rising star. Get on board with Caldwell to feast on possessions and snag that Over bet with confidence.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jye Caldwell averaged 22.7 disposals, 0.3 goals and 4.1 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

22.7
Disposals
0.3
Goals
4.1
Marks
6.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jye Caldwell recorded 21 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Brisbane Lions21054
16 Aug 24Sydney Swans31175
10 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS17122
4 Aug 24Fremantle32056
27 Jul 24St Kilda21024
19 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20136
13 Jul 24Melbourne230312
5 Jul 24Collingwood30167
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats320412
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles271611
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 16.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jye Caldwell (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jye Caldwell is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 5 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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