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Jye Caldwell

Essendon

+12.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -588 (1.17)
+12.8% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Model Probability
98.3%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+12.8%
Predicted Value
28.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jye Caldwell (Essendon) Over 17.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Jye Caldwell's recent form in away games, it's clear he's been a dominant force in the midfield. Averaging a whopping 26.8 disposals per game over his last five away matchups, Caldwell has been a standout performer for the Essendon Bombers. With an impressive disposal efficiency of 71.6% and a knack for generating metres gained (400.6 on average), he consistently finds ways to impact the game. Against the Gold Coast Suns, Caldwell has historically upped his game, averaging 23 disposals in their previous encounters. With the line set at 17.5, Caldwell's ability to win contested possessions (12 on average) and deliver quality kicks (13.8 per game) makes the over a compelling bet. Expect him to continue his stellar form and easily surpass the line in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 87.5% (7/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 16.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 17.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jye Caldwell (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 87.5% (7/8). The latest model pick for Jye Caldwell is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.