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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jye Caldwell is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 70%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:23PM UTC
AFL

Jye Caldwell

Essendon

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+2.3% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
19.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.8% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +2.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.8%—70.4%1.37+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jye Caldwell (Essendon) Over 16.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the Essendon Bombers clash against the St Kilda Saints, all eyes are on Jye Caldwell to shine bright on his home turf at Marvel Stadium. Caldwell's recent form paints a promising picture, averaging a solid 17.8 disposals over his last five home games. His ability to find space and impact the play is evident, with an average of 9.2 handballs and 8.6 kicks per game during this stretch. Facing the Saints, Caldwell has historically stepped up his game, averaging 20 disposals in their recent encounters. With the line set at 16.5, Caldwell's consistent ball-winning abilities and strong disposal efficiency of 75.1% make the Over an enticing proposition. Expect Caldwell to continue his midfield dominance, racking up the possessions and driving the Bombers forward.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jye Caldwell averaged 22.7 disposals, 0.3 goals and 4.1 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

22.7
Disposals
0.3
Goals
4.1
Marks
6.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jye Caldwell recorded 21 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Brisbane Lions21054
16 Aug 24Sydney Swans31175
10 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS17122
4 Aug 24Fremantle32056
27 Jul 24St Kilda21024
19 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20136
13 Jul 24Melbourne230312
5 Jul 24Collingwood30167
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats320412
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles271611
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 16.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jye Caldwell (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jye Caldwell is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 5 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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