Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Josh Kelly

GWS GIANTS

+3.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -189 (1.53)
+3.8% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sun 22 Jun, 3:10AM
Model Probability
69.1%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value
22.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Josh Kelly (GWS GIANTS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-189)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Kelly is poised to shine in disposals against the Gold Coast Suns at home. With a strong L5 average of 24.6 disposals per game and facing an opponent he usually exceeds this against, averaging 25.3 disposals, the model's prediction of 22 disposals presents a solid opportunity. Kelly's exceptional recent form, especially in contested possessions and metres gained, further supports this bet. His impressive disposalefficiency of 75.0% adds reliability to his performance. Having hit 18 out of 20 home games and boasting an overall hit rate of 12 out of 14, Kelly's consistency and home advantage make the Over 19.5 disposals a compelling choice for bettors seeking a reliable player prop in this AFL matchup.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (17 picks) 88.2% (15/17)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -189 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
14 Jun 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
14 Jun 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History