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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Sharp is Under 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 57%, edge +16.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:19PM UTC
AFL

Jeremy Sharp

Fremantle

+16.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 16.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+16.4% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 31 May, 3:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 21°C (Aug 2022). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
13.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.3% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +16.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.3%—56.8%1.36+16.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jeremy Sharp (Fremantle) Under 16.5 Disposals (-132)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jeremy Sharp is likely to stay under 16.5 disposals against Gold Coast based on his recent away game averages. With a model prediction of 13.4 and a standard deviation of 5, indicating a 16.4% edge, his L5 away disposals average of 13.6 falls below the line. Additionally, his L5 stats show consistency below the 16.5 line, especially with his recent 13-disposal average against this opponent. Sharp's overall performance also supports the under, making this a strategic bet with his current hit streak and hit rate reinforcing the prediction.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jeremy Sharp averaged 18.2 disposals, 0.4 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

18.2
Disposals
0.4
Goals
5.7
Marks
1.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jeremy Sharp recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide23072
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS14141
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats280130
4 Aug 24Essendon16032
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles18051
21 Jul 24Melbourne14040
13 Jul 24Hawthorn18191
6 Jul 24Richmond11020
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans25082
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS13011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jeremy Sharp (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Sharp is Under 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 31 May at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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