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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Sharp is Under 16.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +16.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:27PM UTC
AFL

Jeremy Sharp

Fremantle

+16.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 16.5 -132 (1.76)
+16.4% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 31 May, 3:20AM
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Model Probability
73.3%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+16.4%
Predicted Value
13.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.3%—56.8%1.36+16.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jeremy Sharp (Fremantle) Under 16.5 Disposals (-132)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jeremy Sharp is likely to stay under 16.5 disposals against Gold Coast based on his recent away game averages. With a model prediction of 13.4 and a standard deviation of 5, indicating a 16.4% edge, his L5 away disposals average of 13.6 falls below the line. Additionally, his L5 stats show consistency below the 16.5 line, especially with his recent 13-disposal average against this opponent. Sharp's overall performance also supports the under, making this a strategic bet with his current hit streak and hit rate reinforcing the prediction.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
18avg disposals recent
Season best29
Disposals last 10avg 18 · hi 28 · lo 11
13251118141816281423

Jeremy Sharp has a disposals high of 29 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jeremy Sharp (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Sharp is Under 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 31 May at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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