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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Himmelberg is Under 19.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 53%, edge +7.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:41AM UTC
AFL

Harry Himmelberg

GWS GIANTS

+7.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 19.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+7.4% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 3:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
18.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.3% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +7.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals60.3%—52.9%1.66+7.4%

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AI Analysis

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Harry Himmelberg (GWS GIANTS) Under 19.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harry Himmelberg is predicted to have 18.2 disposals with a standard deviation of 5. Given his recent form, averaging 18 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent where he averages 16 disposals, there's a strong case for him to fall under the 19.5 line. Himmelberg's disposals are consistent, with an overall average of 20 and a 7/9 hit rate at home. With a 7.4% model edge and a reliable track record, the under on Himmelberg's disposals in a home game against North Melbourne seems a prudent bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harry Himmelberg averaged 20.8 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.3 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

20.8
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.3
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Harry Himmelberg recorded 24 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions24066
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans15055
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs22081
17 Aug 24Fremantle20030
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions23052
4 Aug 24Hawthorn20091
27 Jul 24Melbourne21074
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS20031
14 Jul 24Richmond17034
6 Jul 24Carlton22065
Quick answers:How many disposals does Harry Himmelberg average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harry Himmelberg (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Himmelberg is Under 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 10 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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