Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for George Wardlaw is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 73%, for a model edge of +12.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
AFL

George Wardlaw

North Melbourne

+12.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -270 (1.37)
+12.1% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 6:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.1%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+12.1%
Predicted Value
19.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals85.1%—73.0%1.17+12.1%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-270)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, George Wardlaw is a prime target for the 'Disposals Over' market against Port Adelaide. Wardlaw's recent form is red hot, averaging a solid 16.8 disposals over his last five away games, with a notable 69.5% disposal efficiency. Facing Port Adelaide, he has historically ramped up his performance to an impressive 20 disposals on average. Wardlaw is in a groove, showcasing consistency with a current hit streak of 6 in away games and 3 overall. His ability to find the footy, coupled with his efficiency, makes hitting over 14.5 disposals seem like a safe bet. The data suggests that Wardlaw is poised to continue his strong run and deliver another stellar performance, making him a smart choice for this player prop bet.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.2avg disposals recent
Season best30
Disposals last 10avg 20.2 · hi 30 · lo 15
15202130231619221620

George Wardlaw has a disposals high of 30 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 13.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 12.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Wardlaw is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 5 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks