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AFL

George Wardlaw

North Melbourne

Value call

George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) has one live pick today: over 16.5 disposals that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
19.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.9% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +19.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 4:40 PM AEST
George Wardlaw
over 16.5 disposals
Disposals Over 16.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.50 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for George Wardlaw is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 2:08AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%—54.1%1.35+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) Over 16.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, George Wardlaw is primed for a standout performance against Port Adelaide. In his last five away games, Wardlaw has been a consistent ball magnet, averaging an impressive 16.8 disposals. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he has historically averaged 20 disposals against, further boosts his prospects. Wardlaw's recent form paints a picture of reliability, with solid averages in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained. His ability to find the ball and make an impact underscores his value in this matchup. With a model prediction of 19.7 disposals and a 19.8% edge, Wardlaw's track record and the statistical trends point towards a solid chance of him surpassing the 16.5 disposals line. Betting on Wardlaw to shine in the disposal department is a smart play with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

George Wardlaw averaged 19.1 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

19.1
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.3
Marks
4.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), George Wardlaw recorded 20 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn20116
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16104
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats22025
21 Jul 24Carlton19042
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans16014
22 Jun 24Melbourne23038
16 Jun 24Collingwood30163
8 Jun 24West Coast Eagles21037
25 May 24Port Adelaide20063
19 May 24Essendon15063
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Wardlaw is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 5 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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