Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-192)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Connor O'Sullivan has been consistent with an average of 10.2 disposals in his last five home games. Facing Brisbane, he has historically performed even better, averaging 13 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model predicting him at 12 disposals, there is a statistically significant edge to support this bet. O'Sullivan's strong dispossession efficiency of 75.2% at home and a low turnover rate of 1.4 add to his reliability. Considering his recent form, a hit rate of 8/9 in home games, and an overall hit rate of 13/14, O'Sullivan is poised to surpass the 9.5 disposals line comfortably in this upcoming game at the MCG.