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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 83%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 11:45AM UTC
AFL

Connor O'Sullivan

Geelong Cats

Value call

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 9.5 that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
16.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 83.4% · before adjusting for past results 91.9% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +8.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.9%83.4%74.6%1.20+17.3%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Connor O'Sullivan Over 9.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

At Optus Stadium, Connor O'Sullivan from Fremantle is looking strong for this match against Geelong. Our numbers show he has been getting plenty of disposals lately, and he's rated as a strong favorite to go over 9.5. He's been involved in a lot of plays, showing he can make an impact on the field. One risk to keep in mind is that Geelong's defense can be tough, so he might face challenges getting the ball. Still, the way he's been performing makes this a promising pick. If he keeps up his current level, he should hit that target.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11avg disposals recent
Season best11
Disposals last 1avg 11 · hi 11 · lo 11
11

Connor O'Sullivan has a disposals high of 11 in AFL.

MarksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Connor O'Sullivan - AFL Marks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 3.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 4.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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