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The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 53%, implied 68%, edge +3.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:20AM UTC
AFL

Connor O'Sullivan

Geelong Cats

+3.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+3.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 9:45AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
16.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.6% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +3.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%52.5%68.0%1.90+3.6%

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AI Analysis

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Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 13.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the Geelong Cats and the Richmond Tigers, all eyes are on Connor O'Sullivan to shine brightly on his home turf at GMHBA Stadium. O'Sullivan has been a consistent force in recent games, averaging an impressive 13.2 disposals per match in his last five home games. With his knack for finding the footy, coupled with a solid 81.9% disposal efficiency, O'Sullivan is poised to control the play against the Tigers. In his last five encounters with Richmond, O'Sullivan has maintained an average of 10 disposals per game, showing his ability to step up in crucial matchups. The numbers don't lie - with O'Sullivan's form and familiarity with the opposition, taking the Over on his 13.5 disposal line seems like a smart bet. Get ready to watch O'Sullivan dominate the midfield and surpass expectations in this pivotal showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11avg disposals recent
Season best11
Disposals last 1avg 11 · hi 11 · lo 11
11

Connor O'Sullivan has a disposals high of 11 in AFL.

Quick answers:How many disposals does Connor O'Sullivan average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 22 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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