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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bradley Hill is Under 26.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 54%, edge +18.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:07PM UTC
AFL

Bradley Hill

St Kilda

+18.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
+18.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 26 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
23.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.3% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +18.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.3%—53.8%1.38+18.5%

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AI Analysis

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Bradley Hill (St Kilda) Under 26.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Look, when it comes to Bradley Hill and his disposal numbers, the numbers don't lie. Sure, he's been a consistent performer, but recent trends suggest a slight dip in his output. Over his last five away games, he's averaged 26.8 disposals, which is just a whisker above the line set at 26.5. Plus, in his last five games against North Melbourne, he's averaged 20.8 disposals when playing away. Add in the fact that Hill's contested possessions and turnovers haven't been stellar recently, and you've got a compelling case for taking the Under on his disposals line. With his disposal efficiency also taking a hit, the stage is set for Bradley Hill to potentially fall short of the mark. Betting against the grain here could be the savvy move for this clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Bradley Hill averaged 19.4 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

19.4
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.4
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Bradley Hill recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton14090
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats10133
11 Aug 24Richmond21051
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions13031
27 Jul 24Essendon11041
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles18021
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans240103
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide19170
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions18031
8 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS15052
Quick answers:How many disposals does Bradley Hill average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bradley Hill (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bradley Hill is Under 26.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 26 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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