Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bradley Hill is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +1.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
AFL

Bradley Hill

St Kilda

+1.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.2% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
19.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.0%—87.7%1.12+1.2%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Bradley Hill (St Kilda) Over 13.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winners, Bradley Hill of the St Kilda Saints stands out as a shining star in the upcoming clash against the Collingwood Magpies at the iconic MCG. Hill’s recent form is nothing short of spectacular, boasting an average of 16.8 disposals per game in his last five home appearances, comfortably surpassing the 13.5 line. His ability to find the footy, coupled with his impressive disposal efficiency of 82.5%, makes him a pivotal figure in the Saints' midfield. Moreover, Hill has been a standout performer against Collingwood, averaging a stellar 22.5 disposals in his last five encounters. With a current hit streak of 9 at home and 7 overall, Hill's consistency is undeniable. Backing Hill to eclipse 13.5 disposals is a wager backed by a wealth of compelling data and a player in red-hot form.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16.3avg disposals recent
Season best33
Disposals last 10avg 16.3 · hi 24 · lo 10
15181924181113211014

Bradley Hill has a disposals high of 33 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Bradley Hill (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bradley Hill is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 8 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks