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The latest Bet Better model pick for Aliir Aliir is Under 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 55%, edge +15.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:30PM UTC
AFL

Aliir Aliir

Port Adelaide

+15.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 16.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+15.9% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 1:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
13.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.6% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +15.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.6%—54.6%1.42+15.9%

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AI Analysis

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Aliir Aliir (Port Adelaide) Under 16.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Aliir Aliir, the defensive linchpin for Port Adelaide, has been a force to be reckoned with at home. In his last five home games, Aliir has showcased his prowess with an average of 15.2 disposals, comfortably below the 16.5 line. His ability to read the play and rack up intercepts (avg. 7) has been instrumental in stifling opposition attacks. Not only does Aliir excel in contested possessions (avg. 5.4), but his disposal efficiency (81.5%) sets him apart as a reliable distributor from the backline. Against the West Coast Eagles, Aliir has historically maintained an average of 10.8 disposals, reinforcing his value in shutting down their forward thrusts. With his recent form and consistent performance, backing Aliir Aliir to stay under 16.5 disposals at Adelaide Oval is a solid bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Aliir Aliir averaged 14.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.4 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

14.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.4
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Aliir Aliir recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans15081
13 Sep 24Hawthorn11041
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats16070
25 Aug 24Fremantle13052
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10041
10 Aug 24Melbourne14050
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans13062
26 Jul 24Carlton13081
20 Jul 24Richmond17071
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS220141
Quick answers:How many disposals does Aliir Aliir average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Aliir Aliir (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aliir Aliir is Under 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.9% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 29 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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