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Model picks & player props
Indiana Fever
VS
Seattle Storm

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 17, 2:54PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Indoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 1:35AM
20
Game markets graded
39
Props graded
81.8%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 202.5 (Alt Total Points)
The model graded 59 markets for Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $126 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 81.8% across 22 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 96.4%, fair odds 1.41, book price -385, model edge +17.0%. Tip-off Wed 29 Jul 2026, 1:35AM at Climate Pledge Arena.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 202.5 · $100 returned $126

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 552 of 717 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 16
Las Vegas Aces 5.5
Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $156
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
207.5
-588
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Underalternate_totalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle StormspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle Stormalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Fever

  • Michelle Onyiah COut
  • Bree Hall GOut
  • Damiris Dantas COut

Seattle Storm

  • Jordan Horston FDay-to-day
  • Natisha Hiedeman GOut
Availability updated Aug 16, 10:42PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Awa Fam player_rebounds_alternate
Flau'jae Johnson player_threes_alternate
Flau'jae Johnson player_threes
Sophie Cunningham player_rebounds
Caitlin Clark player_threes

+ 39 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm — what the model found

Our model graded 59 betting markets for Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm — 20 on the game itself and 39 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
39
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 59 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 58 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm — recent results

Seattle Storm have won 1 of their last 5 games; Indiana Fever have won 4 of their last 5.

Seattle Storm — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L80–82CHIHome
L82–84PORHome
W97–88CHIHome
L93–100PORAway
L86–92NYAway
Indiana Fever — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W95–91ATLAway
W98–87DALHome
W106–92NYHome
W90–86CHIAway
L84–86LVHome

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Seattle Storm won 0, Indiana Fever won 3.

DateSeattle StormIndiana FeverWinner
Jul 2995105Indiana Fever
Jul 17107110Indiana Fever
May 177889Indiana Fever

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Storm
PlayerStatus
Jordan Horston FDAY-TO-DAY
Natisha Hiedeman GOUT
Indiana Fever
PlayerStatus
Michelle Onyiah COUT
Bree Hall GOUT
Damiris Dantas COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm — model preview

Model-built preview and betting picks for Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm: our probability on every market, the value read, and where the edge sits.

The model's read: Seattle Storm spreads at 1.91 — we make it a 69% chance (+0.2% edge on the price).

Player angles the model likes:

  • Caitlin Clark Under 20.5 points at 2.00 — 84% by our numbers
  • Flau'jae Johnson Over 2.5 assists at 1.63 — 73% by our numbers
  • Awa Fam Over 6.5 rebounds at 1.85 — 72% by our numbers

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
22
Total Picks
81.8%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Storm +6.5 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Storm +9 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Storm +8.5 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +9.5 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Storm +10.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +11.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +13.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +12.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +14.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +15.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +16.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Total Points Under 202.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Seattle Storm +17.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Total Points Under 206.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Total Points Under 205.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Fever vs Storm, or as Storm vs Fever. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 39 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 81.8% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Indiana Fever 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Jul 2026Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm95–105Indiana Fever
17 Jul 2026Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever110–107Indiana Fever
17 May 2026Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever89–78Indiana Fever
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