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Model picks & player props
Las Vegas Aces
VS
Chicago Sky

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 20, 5:41PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Wintrust Arena, Chicago
Indoor
Sat 1 Aug 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
100.0%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Chicago Sky 4.5 (Alt Spread)
The model graded 70 markets for Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 100.0% across 67 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 62.1%, fair odds 2.30, book price +120, model edge +16.7%. Tip-off Sat 1 Aug 2026, 5:00PM at Wintrust Arena.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Chicago Sky 4.5 · $100 returned $217

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 655 of 825 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 19
Atlanta Dream 2.5
Atlanta Dream @ Las Vegas Aces
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $205
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Chicago Sky
+6
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago Skyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Skyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Skyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Skyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago Skyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Las Vegas Aces

  • Dana Evans GOut

Chicago Sky

  • Skylar Diggins GOut
  • Rickea Jackson FOut
Availability updated Aug 19, 11:52PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Dana Evans, Skylar Diggins and Rickea Jackson.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jackie Young player_points_assists
Jackie Young player_rebounds
A'ja Wilson player_points_assists
A'ja Wilson player_points_rebounds_assists
Jackie Young player_points_rebounds

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Las Vegas Aces @ Chicago Sky — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Las Vegas Aces at Chicago Sky — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky — recent results

Chicago Sky have won 2 of their last 5 games; Las Vegas Aces have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago Sky — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W93–86NYHome
W82–80SEAAway
L71–91GSAway
L88–97SEAAway
L86–90INDHome
Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L82–97ATLHome
L87–92MINHome
W83–76WSHHome
W86–76WSHHome
L71–111NYAway

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Chicago Sky won 1, Las Vegas Aces won 2.

DateChicago SkyLas Vegas AcesWinner
Aug 18483Chicago Sky
Jul 49098Las Vegas Aces
Jun 2899107Las Vegas Aces

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Sky
PlayerStatus
Skylar Diggins GOUT
Rickea Jackson FOUT
Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
Dana Evans GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Las Vegas Aces @ Chicago Sky — model preview

Chicago Sky v Las Vegas Aces, 2 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 201.5 Total Points. Our model likes 5 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Sunday 2 August 2026, Chicago Sky play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 201.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 201.5 Total Points (-714)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As the Chicago Sky gear up to host the Las Vegas Aces at Wintrust Arena, expect a battle of wills that favors a defensive approach. Both teams have shown tendencies to grind out games, especially against the tougher opponents. The Aces, while explosive on offense, have recently tightened up their defense, highlighting a contrast to their earlier, high-scoring ways. Meanwhile, the Sky have been struggling to find their rhythm offensively, often relying on their defense to keep games competitive. With our model projecting a combined total around 168 points, the 'Under 201.5' shines brightly here. The pace of the game plays into this as well; expect a slower tempo with both teams working through their half-court sets rather than pushing the pace. In a clash where every possession counts, taking the under feels like a smart play as both squads prioritize defense over fireworks. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
67
Total Picks
100.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +2.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +3.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +4.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +5.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Spread Chicago Sky +6 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Spread Chicago Sky +6.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +7.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +8.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +9.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +10.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 189.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 191.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Chicago Sky +11.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 190.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 192.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Aces vs Sky, or as Sky vs Aces. The most recent game between them was Saturday 1 August 2026 at Wintrust Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 100.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Las Vegas Aces 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
1 Aug 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Chicago Sky84–83Chicago Sky
4 Jul 2026Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces98–90Las Vegas Aces
28 Jun 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Chicago Sky99–107Las Vegas Aces
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