Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction & Picks, November 14, 2026

The odds of +128 for the Toronto Maple Leafs to win look appealing, considering they've been scoring well with an average of over three goals per game. While they've only won about a third of their games in regular time, they've shown they can put the puck in the net against tough opponents. Plus, they have home ice advantage, which can make a difference in close matchups. The Edmonton Oilers are no slouches either, winning six of their last ten games, so this is a tight contest. They've been solid defensively, blocking a decent number of shots and hitting hard. This matchup is very close, and that means anything could happen, but the Leafs have the scoring power to take this one at home.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Under 6.5 Total Goals (+108)

For the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Edmonton Oilers, the bet is for under 6.5 total goals. This is likely because both teams have shown some strong defensive play lately. The Oilers have been blocking quite a few shots, and the Leafs are allowing fewer goals than before, which could keep the score low. While the Leafs score a decent number of goals, they've only won 7 out of 21 games in regulation, showing they can struggle to finish strong. Also, the teams are closely matched in terms of how many shots they take and allow, making a high-scoring game less likely.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Toronto Maple Leafs 3rd Period Moneyline (+118)

The odds for the Toronto Maple Leafs to win the third period against the Edmonton Oilers offer a nice opportunity at +118. Toronto has been scoring well, averaging over three goals a game this season, which is better than the league average. They are at home, where they tend to perform better, and they've got a decent shot volume, taking almost 28 shots a game. However, the Oilers have been solid recently, winning six out of ten games. They have a tough defense, blocking shots nearly as well as the league's best. This matchup is really close, so while the Leafs have the scoring advantage, the Oilers could make it tricky.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Anthony Stolarz Under 26.5 Saves (-104)

The odds for Anthony Stolarz to make under 26.5 saves look promising. The Toronto Maple Leafs are scoring well at 3.29 goals per game, so there might not be as many shots on goal for Stolarz. Plus, the Oilers have been tight on defense, blocking about 13 shots a game. This could keep the total saves lower than expected. However, there's a chance the Oilers' offense could heat up, which might put more pressure on Stolarz. He'll need to be ready if the game turns into a back-and-forth battle. Overall, our numbers give a good chance for Stolarz to end up with under 26.5 saves, but it's always a bit of a gamble.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Connor McDavid Under 1.5 Assists (-200)

Tonight, we need Connor McDavid to get less than 2 assists against the Toronto Maple Leafs. This is a solid pick because the Leafs have been pretty tough on opposing players lately, allowing fewer scoring chances. McDavid can still make magic happen, but with the way Toronto is playing, he might struggle to dish out assists. The Oilers have been winning games, but McDavid isn't always getting those assists lately. He'll also face a Leafs team that has allowed an average of 3.29 goals per game, which means they're not giving up many chances for assists. The most concrete risk here is that McDavid can turn it on at any moment, but I think he'll end up with less than 2 assists tonight.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Kasperi Kapanen Over 0.5 Assists (+265)

Kasperi Kapanen has been showing off his playmaking skills lately, and you can feel the energy in Toronto. The Maple Leafs are scoring quite a bit, averaging over three goals a game, which gives Kapanen plenty of chances to assist his teammates. With the Oilers allowing a decent number of shots, he might find openings to set up his fellow forwards. The risk here is that Kapanen may not get enough ice time if the game stays close. Still, with the way he's been playing and the scoring potential from both teams, betting on him to get at least one assist feels like a solid choice. At these odds, it's worth a shot!

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.