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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 14 Nov 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Appalachian State Mountaineers
5-4 · 2-2 awayLWWLL
VS
Marshall Thundering Herd
5-4 · 3-1 at homeLLWWL
Our model's predicted score: Marshall Thundering Herd 29 – Appalachian State Mountaineers 28

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction & Picks · Sat 14 Nov

Model updated Nov 14, 7:12AM UTC

Our model graded 4 markets for Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd and backs Over 54.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $193.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 54.5 total points
Over 54.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.6%
The price says50.1%

The model graded 4 markets for Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Nov 2026, 6:00 PM ET.

Saturday 14 November 2026: Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 54.5 Lean49% chance -108
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean48% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Marshall Thundering Herd are the model's favourite to beat Appalachian State Mountaineers, with a 52% chance to win. Predicted score: Marshall Thundering Herd 29 – Appalachian State Mountaineers 28. Kick-off Sat 14 Nov, 6:00 PM ET. Best bet: Over 54.5 at -108.
How they've been scoring this season
Appalachian State MountaineersMarshall Thundering Herd
Won-lost5-45-4
Points scored per game26.322.3
Points allowed per game24.431.9
On the road / at home2-2 away3-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLWWLLLLWWL
Their games average 52.5 total points this season.
From the 9 Appalachian State Mountaineers and 9 Marshall Thundering Herd games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Mountaineers about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Mountaineersabout 5 in 10$1.92 (-109)$1.85 (-118)
Herdabout 5 in 10$2.09 (+109)$2.04 (+104)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 20 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Appalachian State Mountaineers lost 2 straight games up to Saturday 7 November.
  • On Saturday 7 November, Appalachian State Mountaineers lost 39-23 at home to Georgia State Panthers. On Saturday 7 November, Marshall Thundering Herd lost 49-13 on the road to Georgia Southern Eagles.
  • In their 5 games up to Saturday 7 November, Appalachian State Mountaineers scored 19.6 points a game, down from 26.3 across the season.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
54.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marshall Thundering HerdSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marshall Thundering HerdMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Appalachian State Mountaineers on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Appalachian State Mountaineers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Appalachian State Mountaineers

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Marshall Thundering Herd

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd — where the money went

Since betting opened on Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd, the market has moved away from Appalachian State Mountaineers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Appalachian State Mountaineers -3▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Marshall Thundering Herd 3▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Marshall Thundering Herd▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Appalachian State Mountaineers▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Appalachian State Mountaineers -2▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Marshall Thundering Herd 2▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 54.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 54.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Mountaineers vs Herd, or as Herd vs Mountaineers. The next scheduled game is Saturday 14 November 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Appalachian State Mountaineers play Marshall Thundering Herd on Saturday 14 November 2026. Kick-off is 6:00 PM ET. It is a college football game.

Appalachian State Mountaineers: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostvs Georgia State Panthers 23-39
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Georgia Southern Eagles 3-19
  3. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs James Madison Dukes 34-31
  4. 16 Oct 2026Wonat Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 35-32
  5. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Old Dominion Monarchs 3-10

Marshall Thundering Herd: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Georgia Southern Eagles 13-49
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Old Dominion Monarchs 36-23
  3. 20 Oct 2026Wonvs South Alabama Jaguars 20-13
  4. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 21-27
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostat James Madison Dukes 17-45

Quick answers

When is Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd? Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is on Saturday 14 November 2026. Kick-off is 6:00 PM ET.

How have Appalachian State Mountaineers and Marshall Thundering Herd done lately? Appalachian State Mountaineers won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Marshall Thundering Herd won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd: the season so far

From every final score this season

Appalachian State Mountaineers are 5-4 this season and Marshall Thundering Herd are 5-4. Marshall Thundering Herd are 3-1 at home. Appalachian State Mountaineers are 2-2 on the road. Marshall Thundering Herd score 22.3 points a game and let in 31.9. Appalachian State Mountaineers score 26.3 and let in 24.4. Marshall Thundering Herd games have averaged 54 points in total; Appalachian State Mountaineers games have averaged 51.

SeasonAppalachian State MountaineersMarshall Thundering Herd
Won-lost5-45-4
At home3-23-1
On the road2-22-3
Points scored a game26.322.3
Points let in a game24.431.9
Points scored at home28.226.3
Points scored away24.019.2
Against winning sides2-21-3
Current runLost 2Lost 1
Biggest win55-3 vs Maine Black Bears36-23 at Old Dominion Monarchs
Heaviest loss39-23 vs Georgia State Panthers45-0 at Penn State Nittany Lions

Teams they have both played

  • Against Georgia Southern Eagles: Marshall Thundering Herd lost 13-49 on the road; Appalachian State Mountaineers lost 3-19 on the road.
  • Against Old Dominion Monarchs: Marshall Thundering Herd won 36-23 on the road; Appalachian State Mountaineers lost 3-10 at home.
  • Against Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: Marshall Thundering Herd lost 21-27 at home; Appalachian State Mountaineers won 35-32 on the road.

Rest before this game

Marshall Thundering Herd last played on Saturday 7 November, 7 days before this game. Appalachian State Mountaineers last played on Saturday 7 November, 7 days before.

Quick answers

How are Marshall Thundering Herd doing this season? Marshall Thundering Herd are 5-4 this season: 3-1 at home and 2-3 on the road.

How many points do Appalachian State Mountaineers score a game? Appalachian State Mountaineers score 26.3 points a game this season and let in 24.4, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

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