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NHL

Connor McDavid

Edmonton Oilers

Value call

Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers) has one live pick today: over 3.5 shots on goal that pays $225 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
3.0 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.7% · before adjusting for past results 49.9% · the book's price implies 44.4% · gap -5.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks
Honda Center, Anaheim, FUT · Indoor
Wed 7 Oct, 10:00 PM ET
Connor McDavid
over 3.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 3.5 +125 (2.25) · $100→$225
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.50 Odds+125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor McDavid is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 44%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:10AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal49.9%38.7%44.4%2.59+5.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers: Connor McDavid Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Connor McDavid is one of the best players in the NHL, and he's known for taking a lot of shots. In this matchup against the Anaheim Ducks, betting on him to have over 3.5 shots on goal makes sense. Both teams have been pretty equal lately, with each winning 5 of their last 10 games, so this could be a competitive battle at Honda Center. The Ducks have been working hard on their defense, but McDavid's skills can shine even in tough situations. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these teams are, which could limit scoring chances. Still, McDavid's talent often leads to him getting those shots off, making this a solid pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Connor McDavid has 8 goals and 17 assists (25 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
10 Oct 26@ SJS0114224:04
7 Oct 26@ ANA1231224:31
3 Oct 26vs SEA1124126:17
1 Oct 26@ VAN1453022:03
29 Sep 26vs VAN0220122:51
16 Apr 26vs VAN0443018:16
13 Apr 26vs COL1015027:55
11 Apr 26@ LAK0001126:50
8 Apr 26@ SJS3258021:10
7 Apr 26@ UTA1124022:05
Quick answers:How many points does Connor McDavid average?How many shots on goal does Connor McDavid average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Seattle Kraken @ Edmonton Oilers Assists 1.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Edmonton Oilers @ Vancouver Canucks Shots on Goal 3.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers Shots on Goal 2.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
07 Oct 26 Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks Shots on Goal — — — Pending
07 Oct 26 Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks Points — — — Pending
07 Oct 26 Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor McDavid is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks on Wednesday 7 October at Honda Center, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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