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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Stolarz is Under 28.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +8.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:41PM UTC
NHL

Anthony Stolarz

Toronto Maple Leafs

+8.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Under 28.5 -120 (1.83)
+8.0% Edge
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Minnesota Wild
Grand Casino Arena, Minnesota, FUT · Indoor
Sun 15 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
62.6%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
25.5 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves62.6%54.6%1.60+8.0%

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AI Analysis

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Anthony Stolarz (Toronto Maple Leafs) Under 28.5 Saves (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Picture this: it's March 15, 2026, and we're looking at Anthony Stolarz as he's about to guard the net on the road against the Minnesota Wild. Now, Stolarz is no slouch – he's been averaging 27 saves in his last five away games. But here's the thing, friends: the Toronto Maple Leafs' goaltender hasn't exactly been facing an onslaught. The average shots against him? A cool 30.2. Even more telling, in his last 17 away games, he's come in under 28.5 saves more often than not - 10 times to be exact. And don't let his recent overall hit streak of one game sway you. In his last four games, he's dipped below the line three times. So, as they say in the trade, the 'Under 28.5' for Stolarz's total saves seems like a pretty solid play. Buckle up, Leafs fans

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
25.5projected saves (model)
Line28.5Model proj25.5Last oppMINListed8

Anthony Stolarz (Toronto Maple Leafs) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 25.5 saves against a market line of 28.5 vs MIN. 8 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Anthony Stolarz (Toronto Maple Leafs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Anthony Stolarz is Under 28.5 on Saves. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild on Sunday 15 March at Grand Casino Arena, Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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