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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 14 Nov 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Arizona State Sun Devils
4-4 · 1-3 awayLWLWL
VS
UCF Knights
5-4 · 4-1 at homeLLWLW
Our model's predicted score: UCF Knights 31.5 – Arizona State Sun Devils 23.6

Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights Prediction & Picks · Sat 14 Nov

Model updated Nov 8, 6:02PM UTC

Our model graded 6 markets for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights and backs UCF Knights -2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $183.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
UCF Knights
to win by 3+ points
UCF Knights -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$18.33Best price-120
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.1%
The price says49.8%

The model graded 6 markets for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $183 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Nov 2026, 3:30 PM ET.

Saturday 14 November 2026: Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread UCF Knights -2.5 Lean49% chance -120
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean49% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
UCF Knights are the model's favourite to beat Arizona State Sun Devils, with a 67% chance to win. Predicted score: UCF Knights 31.5 – Arizona State Sun Devils 23.6. Kick-off Sat 14 Nov, 3:30 PM ET. Best bet: UCF Knights -2.5 at -120.
How they've been scoring this season
Arizona State Sun DevilsUCF Knights
Won-lost4-45-4
Points scored per game29.530.1
Points allowed per game29.526.0
On the road / at home1-3 away4-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLWLWLLLWLW
Their games average 57.6 total points this season.
From the 8 Arizona State Sun Devils and 9 UCF Knights games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: UCF Knights about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Devilsabout 4 in 10$2.32 (+132)$2.30 (+130)
UCF Knightsabout 6 in 10$1.76 (-132)$1.69 (-145)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.60 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 13 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • In their 5 games up to Saturday 7 November, UCF Knights gave up 34.6 points a game, up from 26.0 across the season.
  • On Saturday 31 October, Arizona State Sun Devils lost 27-20 on the road to BYU Cougars. On Saturday 7 November, UCF Knights beat Kansas Jayhawks 33-32 on the road.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
UCF Knights
-2.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UCF KnightsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UCF KnightsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UCF KnightsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UCF KnightsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from UCF Knights on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward UCF Knights
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Arizona State Sun Devils
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Arizona State Sun Devils

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

UCF Knights

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 9 Nov

UCF Knights vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 14 November 2026, UCF Knights play Arizona State Sun Devils in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 51.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 51.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, UCF Knights host Arizona State Sun Devils in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 51.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 51.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UCF Knights -3 on the Line (-106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, UCF Knights host Arizona State Sun Devils in college football. The bet we are looking at is UCF Knights -3 Point Spread. On this line UCF Knights give up 3 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 3. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.43 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.43 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UCF Knights to Win (-147)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, UCF Knights host Arizona State Sun Devils in college football. The bet we are looking at is UCF Knights Moneyline. This one only needs UCF Knights to win the game. It was priced at -137 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.30 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads UCF Knights v Arizona State Sun Devils. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights — where the money went

Since betting opened on Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights, the market has moved away from UCF Knights across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — UCF Knights -3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 50.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Arizona State Sun Devils 3.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 50.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Arizona State Sun Devils▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 51▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 51▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — UCF Knights▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights — model preview

UCF Knights v Arizona State Sun Devils, 14 November 2026. Top of the list: Over 51.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 14 November 2026, UCF Knights play Arizona State Sun Devils in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 51.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 51.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, UCF Knights host Arizona State Sun Devils in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 51.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 51.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Devils vs Knights, or as Knights vs Devils. The next scheduled game is Saturday 14 November 2026. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Arizona State Sun Devils play UCF Knights on Saturday 14 November 2026. Kick-off is 3:30 PM ET. It is a college football game.

Arizona State Sun Devils: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostat BYU Cougars 20-27
  2. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Kansas State Wildcats 28-17
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostat Texas Tech Red Raiders 25-53
  4. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 30-12
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs Baylor Bears 19-55

UCF Knights: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Kansas Jayhawks 33-32
  2. 30 Oct 2026Lostvs Baylor Bears 9-41
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs BYU Cougars 39-31
  4. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Oklahoma State Cowboys 28-42
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Houston Cougars 17-27

Quick answers

When is Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights? Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is on Saturday 14 November 2026. Kick-off is 3:30 PM ET.

How have Arizona State Sun Devils and UCF Knights done lately? Arizona State Sun Devils won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. UCF Knights won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

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