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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:00 AM ET
Daniil Medvedev
VS
Rafael Jodar

Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 8 markets for Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Jodar and backs Under 22 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $208.

7
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 22 total games
Under 22 Total Games
You bet$10 If it wins$20.80Best price+108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.5%
The price says46.3%

The model graded 8 markets for Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Jodar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $208 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:00 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 22 Lean56% chance +108
Total Games Members only Lean51% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean45% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 65% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Jodar last met on Sat 17 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
22
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Daniil Medvedev

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Rafael Jodar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Jodar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Daniil MedvedevNo line posted
56%model under %
2.16fair price
PickUnder 22Model55.5%Fair2.16Odds+108

Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 22 at +108, fair price 2.16; our model makes it 55.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapRafael Jodar vs Daniil MedvedevNo line posted
52%model cover %
2.04fair price
PickDaniil Medvedev -2.5Model51.9%Fair2.04Odds-105

Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Daniil Medvedev -2.5 at -105, fair price 2.04; our model makes it 51.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Daniil Medvedev @ Rafael Jodar — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Daniil Medvedev at Rafael Jodar — 7 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Jodar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Medvedev vs Jodar, or as Jodar vs Medvedev. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 October 2026. The model has generated 7 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Jodar: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 17 Oct 2026Rafael Jodar beat Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4 at Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev: last 5 matches

  1. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Ignacio Buse 6-4 6-4BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 7-6Vienna Open · Semifinals · Hard
  3. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3Vienna Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Cameron Norrie 4-6 6-3 7-6Vienna Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Daniel Merida Aguilar 7-6 6-1Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard

Rafael Jodar: last 5 matches

  1. 3 Nov 2026Lostvs Casper Ruud 6-3 6-4BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 2 Nov 2026Wonvs Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-3BNP Paribas Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Valentin Vacherot 7-6 2-6 7-6Swiss Indoors · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-2Swiss Indoors · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 18 Oct 2026Lostvs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · Final · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev match? Rafael Jodar won their last meeting 6-3 6-4 at Shanghai Masters on 17 October 2026.

How have Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Jodar done lately? Daniil Medvedev won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Rafael Jodar won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Rafael Jodar 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
17 Oct 2026Rafael Jodar6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · SemifinalsHard
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