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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Wed 14 Oct 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Stefanos Tsitsipas
VS
Daniil Medvedev

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 8 markets for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev and backs Under 22 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $230.

7
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 22 total games
Under 22 Total Games
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00Best price+130
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.0%
The price says41.9%

The model graded 8 markets for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 14 Oct 2026, 6:00 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 22 Lean51% chance +130
Total Games Members only Lean46% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev last met on Wed 14 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
22
+130
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniil Medvedev

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesDaniil Medvedev vs Stefanos TsitsipasNo line posted
51%model under %
2.39fair price
PickUnder 22Model51.0%Fair2.39Odds+130

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 22 at +130, fair price 2.39; our model makes it 51.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapDaniil Medvedev vs Stefanos TsitsipasNo line posted
55%model cover %
1.92fair price
PickDaniil Medvedev -2.5Model54.7%Fair1.92Odds-120

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Daniil Medvedev -2.5 at -120, fair price 1.92; our model makes it 54.7% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Stefanos Tsitsipas @ Daniil Medvedev — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Stefanos Tsitsipas at Daniil Medvedev — 7 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Tsitsipas vs Medvedev, or as Medvedev vs Tsitsipas. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 14 October 2026. The model has generated 7 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 14 Oct 2026Daniil Medvedev beat Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 7-5 at Shanghai Masters
  • 18 Feb 2026Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4 at Qatar Exxon Mobil Open
  • 9 Oct 2024Daniil Medvedev beat Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6 6-3 at Shanghai Masters

Stefanos Tsitsipas: last 5 matches

  1. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-4 6-7 6-3Almaty Open · Semifinals · Hard
  2. 23 Oct 2026Wonvs James Duckworth 6-3 6-4Almaty Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  3. 21 Oct 2026Wonvs M. Kukushkin 6-1 6-2Almaty Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 20 Oct 2026Wonvs Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6 3-6 6-3Almaty Open · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 14 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 6-4 7-5Shanghai Masters · 4th Round · Hard

Daniil Medvedev: last 5 matches

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 7-6Vienna Open · Semifinals · Hard
  2. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3Vienna Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  3. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Cameron Norrie 4-6 6-3 7-6Vienna Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Daniel Merida Aguilar 7-6 6-1Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 25 Oct 2026Wonvs Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-7 6-1 6-3Almaty Open · Final · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas match? Daniil Medvedev won their last meeting 6-4 7-5 at Shanghai Masters on 14 October 2026.

How have Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev done lately? Stefanos Tsitsipas won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Daniil Medvedev won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 8 meetings
Daniil Medvedev 5–3 across the last 8 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
14 Oct 2026Daniil Medvedev6-4 7-5Shanghai Masters · 4th RoundHard
18 Feb 2026Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4Qatar Exxon Mobil Open · 2nd RoundHard
9 Oct 2024Daniil Medvedev7-6 6-3Shanghai Masters · 4th RoundHard
28 Oct 2023Daniil Medvedev6-4 7-6Vienna Open · SemifinalsHard
20 May 2023Daniil Medvedev7-5 7-5Internazionali BNL d'Italia · SemifinalsClay
16 Nov 2022Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-7 7-6Masters Cup · Round RobinHard
21 Aug 2022Stefanos Tsitsipas7-6 3-6 6-3Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · SemifinalsHard
28 Jan 2022Daniil Medvedev7-6 4-6 6-4 6-1Australian Open · SemifinalsHard
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