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Model picks & player props
Marin Cilic
VS
Daniel Merida Aguilar

Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 2, 6:14AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Fri 14 Aug 2026, 10:25PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Marin Cilic 1.5 Spread +103

The model graded 21 markets for Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $203 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 14 Aug 2026, 10:25PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.4%
The price says47.1%
Best price+103
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Marin Cilic 1.5 Lean54% chance +103
Spread Lean51% chance —
Spread Lean58% chance —
Set 2 Winner Lean47% chance —
Spread Lean53% chance —
Total Games Lean52% chance —
Total Games Lean56% chance —
Spread High60% chance —
Set 1 Game Handicap Lean59% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Leanup to 54% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Marin Cilic
+1.5
+103
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Marin Cilic

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
59%model under %
2.01fair price
PickUnder 23Model58.6%Fair2.01Odds-106

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23 at -106, fair price 2.01; our model makes it 58.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
61%model cover %
2.12fair price
PickMarin Cilic 1.5Model60.9%Fair2.12Odds+103

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic 1.5 at +103, fair price 2.12; our model makes it 60.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
69%model under %
1.56fair price
PickUnder 10.5Model68.8%Fair1.56Odds-233

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 10.5 at -233, fair price 1.56; our model makes it 68.8% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
65%model cover %
1.75fair price
PickMarin Cilic 1.5Model64.8%Fair1.75Odds-161

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic 1.5 at -161, fair price 1.75; our model makes it 64.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
55%model win %
2.13fair price
PickMarin Cilic set 1Model54.5%Fair2.13Odds+100

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic set 1 at +100, fair price 2.13; our model makes it 54.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
55%model win %
2.21fair price
PickMarin Cilic set 2Model54.5%Fair2.21Odds+110

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic set 2 at +110, fair price 2.21; our model makes it 54.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Marin Cilic @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Marin Cilic at Daniel Merida Aguilar — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Cilic vs Aguilar, or as Aguilar vs Cilic. The most recent game between them was Friday 14 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Daniel Merida Aguilar 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
14 Aug 2026Daniel Merida Aguilar3-6 6-1 6-1Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 1st RoundHard
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