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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Fri 14 Aug 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Marin Cilic
VS
Daniel Merida Aguilar

Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 21 markets for Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar and backs Marin Cilic 1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $203.

20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Marin Cilic
with a 1.5-game head start
Marin Cilic 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$20.30Best price+103
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.4%
The price says47.1%

The model graded 21 markets for Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $203 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 14 Aug 2026, 6:25 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Marin Cilic 1.5 Lean54% chance +103
Spread Members only Lean51% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean55% chance Members
Set 2 Winner Members only Lean47% chance Members
Set 1 Game Handicap Members only Lean59% chance Members
Set 1 Winner Members only Lean47% chance Members
Set 2 Total Games Members only High86% chance Members
Set 1 Total Games Members only High70% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Leanup to 54% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Marin Cilic and Daniel Merida Aguilar last met on Fri 14 Aug 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Marin Cilic
+1.5
+103
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Marin CilicSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Marin Cilic

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
59%model under %
2.01fair price
PickUnder 23Model58.6%Fair2.01Odds-106

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23 at -106, fair price 2.01; our model makes it 58.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
61%model cover %
2.12fair price
PickMarin Cilic 1.5Model60.9%Fair2.12Odds+103

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic 1.5 at +103, fair price 2.12; our model makes it 60.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
69%model under %
1.56fair price
PickUnder 10.5Model68.8%Fair1.56Odds-233

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 10.5 at -233, fair price 1.56; our model makes it 68.8% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
65%model cover %
1.75fair price
PickMarin Cilic 1.5Model64.8%Fair1.75Odds-161

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic 1.5 at -161, fair price 1.75; our model makes it 64.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
55%model win %
2.13fair price
PickMarin Cilic set 1Model54.5%Fair2.13Odds+100

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic set 1 at +100, fair price 2.13; our model makes it 54.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicNo line posted
55%model win %
2.21fair price
PickMarin Cilic set 2Model54.5%Fair2.21Odds+110

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Marin Cilic set 2 at +110, fair price 2.21; our model makes it 54.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Marin Cilic @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Marin Cilic at Daniel Merida Aguilar — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Cilic vs Aguilar, or as Aguilar vs Cilic. The most recent game between them was Friday 14 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Marin Cilic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 14 Aug 2026Daniel Merida Aguilar beat Marin Cilic 3-6 6-1 6-1 at Western & Southern Financial Group Masters

Marin Cilic: last 5 matches

  1. 19 Oct 2026Lostvs Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-2 7-5Almaty Open · 1st Round · Hard
  2. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Arthur Fery 7-6 6-1Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 14 Aug 2026Lostvs Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-6 6-1 6-1Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 5 Aug 2026Lostvs Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-2 6-2Canadian Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 4 Aug 2026Wonvs Sho Shimabukuro 7-6 6-1Canadian Open · 1st Round · Hard

Daniel Merida Aguilar: last 5 matches

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-1Erste Bank Open · 1st Round
  2. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Botic van de Zandschulp 1-6 6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 4 Sep 2026Lostvs Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-4 6-3US Open · 3rd Round · Hard
  4. 2 Sep 2026Wonvs Andrey Rublev 6-7 6-2 6-4 6-4US Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 30 Aug 2026Wonvs Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4 6-2US Open · 1st Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic match? Daniel Merida Aguilar won their last meeting 3-6 6-1 6-1 at Western & Southern Financial Group Masters on 14 August 2026.

How have Marin Cilic and Daniel Merida Aguilar done lately? Marin Cilic won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold. Daniel Merida Aguilar won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Daniel Merida Aguilar 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
14 Aug 2026Daniel Merida Aguilar3-6 6-1 6-1Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 1st RoundHard
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