Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Tennis
Mon 2 Nov 2026, 7:20 AM ET
Sebastian Baez
VS
Daniel Merida Aguilar

Sebastian Baez vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 2 markets for Sebastian Baez vs Daniel Merida Aguilar and backs Under 21.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $194.

1
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 21.5 total games
Under 21.5 Total Games
You bet$10 If it wins$19.43Best price-106
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.5%
The price says48.3%

The model graded 2 markets for Sebastian Baez vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $194 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 2 Nov 2026, 7:20 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 21.5 Lean55% chance -106
Moneyline × 1 prop Long-shotup to 26% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Sebastian Baez and Daniel Merida Aguilar last met on Mon 2 Nov 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
21.5
-106
Player props & full board
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 1 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,873+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

Best price right now

Pinnacle
on Daniel Merida Aguilar
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sebastian Baez

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sebastian Baez vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian BaezNo line posted
55%model under %
2.07fair price
PickUnder 21.5Model55.5%Fair2.07Odds-106

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 21.5 at -106, fair price 2.07; our model makes it 55.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Sebastian Baez @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Sebastian Baez at Daniel Merida Aguilar — 1 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sebastian Baez vs Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Baez vs Aguilar, or as Aguilar vs Baez. The most recent game between them was Monday 2 November 2026. The model has generated 1 game pick and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Sebastian Baez vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Sebastian Baez: last 5 matches

  1. 20 Oct 2026Lostvs P. Herbert 6-3 6-4Lyon Open · 1st Round · Hard
  2. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Valentin Vacherot 6-4 7-6Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 8 Oct 2026Wonvs Marcos Giron 1-6 6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 1 Oct 2026Lostvs Juncheng Shang 5-7 6-3 7-5China Open · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 23 Sep 2026Lostvs Jenson Brooksby 7-5 7-5Chengdu Open · 1st Round · Hard

Daniel Merida Aguilar: last 5 matches

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-1Erste Bank Open · 1st Round
  2. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Botic van de Zandschulp 1-6 6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 4 Sep 2026Lostvs Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-4 6-3US Open · 3rd Round · Hard
  4. 2 Sep 2026Wonvs Andrey Rublev 6-7 6-2 6-4 6-4US Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 30 Aug 2026Wonvs Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4 6-2US Open · 1st Round · Hard

Quick answers

How have Sebastian Baez and Daniel Merida Aguilar done lately? Sebastian Baez won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold. Daniel Merida Aguilar won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

More from the Paris Masters: matches and past winners

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.