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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 1:10 AM ET
Pablo Carreno Busta
VS
Alejandro Tabilo

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 11 markets for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo and backs Pablo Carreno Busta 2 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $203.

10
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pablo Carreno Busta
with a 2-game head start
Pablo Carreno Busta 2 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$20.30Best price+103
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.9%
The price says47.3%

The model graded 11 markets for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $203 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 1:10 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Pablo Carreno Busta 2 Lean51% chance +103
Spread Members only Lean53% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean58% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 61% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Pablo Carreno Busta and Alejandro Tabilo last met on Sat 10 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Pablo Carreno Busta
+2.5
-112
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pablo Carreno BustaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pablo Carreno BustaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pablo Carreno BustaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pablo Carreno BustaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pablo Carreno Busta

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Alejandro Tabilo

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesAlejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
54%model under %
1.98fair price
PickUnder 22.5Model53.9%Fair1.98Odds-109

Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 22.5 at -109, fair price 1.98; our model makes it 53.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapAlejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
60%model cover %
2.02fair price
PickPablo Carreno Busta 2.5Model59.8%Fair2.02Odds-112

Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Pablo Carreno Busta 2.5 at -112, fair price 2.02; our model makes it 59.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Pablo Carreno Busta @ Alejandro Tabilo — what the model found

Our model graded 11 betting markets for Pablo Carreno Busta at Alejandro Tabilo — 10 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 11 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 10 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Busta vs Tabilo, or as Tabilo vs Busta. The most recent game between them was Saturday 10 October 2026. The model has generated 10 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 10 Oct 2026Pablo Carreno Busta beat Alejandro Tabilo 4-6 7-6 6-4 at Shanghai Masters
  • 6 May 2026Alejandro Tabilo beat Pablo Carreno Busta 6-2 6-1 at Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Pablo Carreno Busta: last 5 matches

  1. 12 Oct 2026Lostvs F. Auger-Aliassime 6-3 4-6 6-1Shanghai Masters · 3rd Round · Hard
  2. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Alejandro Tabilo 4-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 8 Oct 2026Wonvs Mariano Navone 4-6 7-5 6-3Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 2 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-2China Open · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 30 Aug 2026Lostvs Jiri Lehecka 6-1 7-6 4-6 6-2US Open · 1st Round · Hard

Alejandro Tabilo: last 5 matches

  1. 27 Oct 2026Lostvs Rafael Jodar 6-4 6-2Swiss Indoors Basel · 1st Round
  2. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Pablo Carreno Busta 4-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs Denis Shapovalov 7-5 3-6 6-4Japan Open Tennis Championships · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 30 Sep 2026Wonvs Tommy Paul 6-1 6-2Japan Open Tennis Championships · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostvs Adrian Mannarino 6-4 6-4Chengdu Open · 2nd Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta match? Pablo Carreno Busta won their last meeting 4-6 7-6 6-4 at Shanghai Masters on 10 October 2026.

How have Pablo Carreno Busta and Alejandro Tabilo done lately? Pablo Carreno Busta won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold. Alejandro Tabilo won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
10 Oct 2026Pablo Carreno Busta4-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · 2nd RoundHard
6 May 2026Alejandro Tabilo6-2 6-1Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st RoundClay
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