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Model picks & player props
Pablo Carreno Busta
VS
Tomas Machac

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas Machac Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 4:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Fri 14 Aug 2026, 4:30PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 23.5 Total Games -133

The model graded 21 markets for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas Machac (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $175 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 14 Aug 2026, 4:30PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.4%
The price says53.6%
Best price-133
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 23.5 Lean55% chance -133
Total Games High61% chance —
Total Games Lean57% chance —
Total Games Lean48% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High85% chance —
Total Games Lean52% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High74% chance —
Total Games Lean43% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High61% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 68% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Pablo Carreno Busta and Tomas Machac last met on Fri 14 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
24.5
-143
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pablo Carreno BustaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pablo Carreno Busta

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Tomas Machac

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas Machac: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesTomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
62%model under %
1.79fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model61.6%Fair1.79Odds-139

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -139, fair price 1.79; our model makes it 61.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapTomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
56%model cover %
1.83fair price
PickTomas Machac 1.5Model55.7%Fair1.83Odds-132

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Tomas Machac 1.5 at -132, fair price 1.83; our model makes it 55.7% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesTomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
93%model over %
1.14fair price
PickOver 7.5Model92.7%Fair1.14Odds-2000

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 7.5 at -2000, fair price 1.14; our model makes it 92.7% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapTomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
50%model cover %
2.02fair price
PickTomas Machac -0.5Model50.5%Fair2.02Odds-115

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Tomas Machac -0.5 at -115, fair price 2.02; our model makes it 50.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerTomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
50%model win %
2.04fair price
PickTomas Machac set 1Model50.5%Fair2.04Odds-110

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Tomas Machac set 1 at -110, fair price 2.04; our model makes it 50.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerTomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
50%model win %
2.04fair price
PickTomas Machac set 2Model50.5%Fair2.04Odds-110

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Tomas Machac set 2 at -110, fair price 2.04; our model makes it 50.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Pablo Carreno Busta @ Tomas Machac — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Pablo Carreno Busta at Tomas Machac — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas Machac in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Busta vs Machac, or as Machac vs Busta. The most recent game between them was Friday 14 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Pablo Carreno Busta 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
14 Aug 2026Pablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 1st RoundHard
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