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Model picks & player props
Pablo Carreno Busta
VS
Andrey Rublev

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrey Rublev Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 2:47AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 5:20PM
17
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 23 Total Games -114

The model graded 18 markets for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrey Rublev (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 5:20PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.8%
The price says51.4%
Best price-114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 23 Lean52% chance -114
Total Games Lean56% chance —
Total Games Lean55% chance —
Total Games Lean42% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High85% chance —
Set 2 Total Games Lean60% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High74% chance —
Set 2 Total Games Lean45% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High93% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 83% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Pablo Carreno Busta and Andrey Rublev last met on Sun 16 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
22
+121
+ 16 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Andrey RublevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Andrey RublevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Andrey RublevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Andrey RublevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Andrey RublevSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pablo Carreno Busta

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Andrey Rublev

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrey Rublev: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesAndrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
60%model under %
1.94fair price
PickUnder 23Model60.3%Fair1.94Odds-114

Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23 at -114, fair price 1.94; our model makes it 60.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapAndrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
50%model cover %
2.13fair price
PickAndrey Rublev -3Model50.0%Fair2.13Odds+105

Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Andrey Rublev -3 at +105, fair price 2.13; our model makes it 50.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesAndrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
93%model over %
1.14fair price
PickOver 7.5Model92.6%Fair1.14Odds-2000

Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 7.5 at -2000, fair price 1.14; our model makes it 92.6% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerAndrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno BustaNo line posted
61%model win %
1.67fair price
PickAndrey Rublev set 2Model61.3%Fair1.67Odds-175

Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Andrey Rublev set 2 at -175, fair price 1.67; our model makes it 61.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Pablo Carreno Busta @ Andrey Rublev — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Pablo Carreno Busta at Andrey Rublev — 17 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

17
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrey Rublev in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Busta vs Rublev, or as Rublev vs Busta. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026. The model has generated 17 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Andrey Rublev 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
16 Aug 2026Andrey Rublev7-6 6-1Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 2nd RoundHard
27 Sep 2024Andrey Rublev6-0 4-6 6-4China Open · 1st RoundHard
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