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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Estadi Ciutat de Val?ncia, Valencia
Outdoor
Mon 12 Oct 2026, 9:00 PM CEST
Sevilla
4-1-2 · 2-1-0 awayLDWWL
VS
Levante
1-2-3 · 1-0-1 at homeDWDLL

Sevilla vs Levante Prediction & Picks · Mon 12 Oct

Our model graded 20 markets for Sevilla vs Levante and backs Levante hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $196.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Levante
to win, money back on a draw
Levante Draw No Bet
You bet$10 If it wins$19.62Best price-104
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.4%
The price says49.3%

The model graded 20 markets for Sevilla vs Levante (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 12 Oct 2026, 9:00 PM CEST at Estadi Ciutat de Val?ncia.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Levante Lean55% chance -104
Spread Members only Lean57% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Total Corners Members only Lean52% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean52% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Levante are the model's favourite to beat Sevilla, with a 51% chance to win. Kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 9:00 PM CEST at Estadi Ciutat de Val?ncia. Best bet: Levante at -104.
How they've been scoring this season
SevillaLevante
Won-drawn-lost4-1-21-2-3
Goals scored per game1.41.3
Goals allowed per game1.32.0
On the road / at home2-1-0 away1-0-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLDWWLDWDLL
Their games average 3.0 total goals this season.
From the 7 Sevilla and 6 Levante games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Levante about 4 in 10 to win. Now: about 4 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Levanteabout 4 in 10$2.78$2.75
Drawabout 3 in 10$3.47$3.40
Sevillaabout 4 in 10$2.84$2.80

On this match the bookies keep about $5.50 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 48 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Levante
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
LevanteDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LevanteSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Levante on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Levante
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sevilla FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Levante UD

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sevilla vs Levante: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Same game parlay

Written 11 Oct

Levante vs Sevilla Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Sunday 11 October 2026, Levante play Sevilla in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Levante +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Levante vs Sevilla: Levante +0 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Levante prepares to host Sevilla, there’s a compelling narrative unfolding. At home, Levante has been a force, averaging an impressive 2.8 goals in their last five matches at Estadi Ciutat de València while conceding just 1.6. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 18.2 shots per game, which puts them in a strong position to capitalize on Sevilla's recent struggles. Sevilla, meanwhile, has not been the same powerhouse away from home, managing only 1.6 goals per game and struggling to convert chances. With Levante's solid track record against Sevilla—undefeated in their last four encounters—this match feels ripe for a home advantage. The combination of Levante's scoring ability and Sevilla’s away vulnerabilities makes backing Levante at a handicap of 0 a tantalizing prospect. Expect Levante to maintain their momentum and possibly secure a win or a draw at worst.

Levante vs Sevilla: Levante Moneyline (+175)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Levante prepares to host Sevilla, there’s a palpable buzz in the air, especially given Levante's impressive home form lately. They’ve been a fortress at home, boasting a 4-0-1 record in their last five home games, scoring an average of 2.8 goals. While their overall form might be mixed, their home performances reveal a side that knows how to capitalize on opportunities. Sevilla, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.4 goals per match away from home. With Levante’s attacking potential, highlighted by their 18.2 shots per game at home, they are likely to create ample chances. Moreover, Levante has historically matched up well against Sevilla, holding a 2-0-2 record in their last encounters. With the odds favoring Levante at 2.75, this presents a compelling opportunity to back the home side as they aim to seize the moment and secure a crucial three points.

That is how our model reads Levante v Sevilla. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

5 markets live
MoneylineSevilla @ Levante+175
51%Levante win %
0-1-7past meetings (last 8)
Home form8-3-9Away form5-7-8
past meetings, home wins0 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Levante have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 7; the model reads Levante's win chance at 51% for this fixture.

Draw No BetSevilla @ Levante-104
67%Levante win %
0-1-7past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g1.6Away GF/g1.2

Levante to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 67%.

Both Teams to ScoreSevilla @ Levante-130
58%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Levante60%Sevilla60%Free board6-5
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Levante's and 60% of Sevilla's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 58% here.

Total GoalsSevilla @ LevanteOver +2.5 +110
57%model over %
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.540%past meetings avg3.9
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.9 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Over at 57% here.

SpreadSevilla @ LevanteLevante 0 -115
67%model cover %
0-1-7past meetings (last 8)
Home margin-0.4Away margin-0.2

Levante on the 0 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 67%.

Sevilla @ Levante — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Sevilla at Levante — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sevilla @ Levante — where the money went

Since betting opened on Sevilla at Levante, the market has moved away from Levante across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Levante▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Levante 0▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Sevilla▲ Money came for this
Spread — Sevilla 0▲ Money came for this
Spread — Levante -1▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 2.25▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.25▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Sevilla @ Levante — model preview

Levante v Sevilla, 11 October 2026. Top of the list: Levante +0 Goal Handicap. Our model likes 2 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Sunday 11 October 2026, Levante play Sevilla in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Levante +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Levante vs Sevilla: Levante +0 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Levante prepares to host Sevilla, there’s a compelling narrative unfolding. At home, Levante has been a force, averaging an impressive 2.8 goals in their last five matches at Estadi Ciutat de València while conceding just 1.6. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 18.2 shots per game, which puts them in a strong position to capitalize on Sevilla's recent struggles. Sevilla, meanwhile, has not been the same powerhouse away from home, managing only 1.6 goals per game and struggling to convert chances. With Levante's solid track record against Sevilla—undefeated in their last four encounters—this match feels ripe for a home advantage. The combination of Levante's scoring ability and Sevilla’s away vulnerabilities makes backing Levante at a handicap of 0 a tantalizing prospect. Expect Levante to maintain their momentum and possibly secure a win or a draw at worst.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sevilla vs Levante in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Monday 12 October 2026 at Estadi Ciutat de Val?ncia. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Sevilla vs Levante head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Levante 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 23 Apr 2026, Sevilla at Levante: Levante won 2-0.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Apr 2026Sevilla @ Levante2–0Levante
4 Jan 2026Levante @ Sevilla0–3Levante
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