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Model picks & player props
Newcastle United
VS
Manchester City

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 4:02PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Outdoor
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +145

The model graded 4 markets for Newcastle United vs Manchester City (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $245 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.7%
The price says40.8%
Best price+145
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No Lean52% chance +145
Spread High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund @ TSG Hoffenheim
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $182
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+145
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Manchester City

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ Manchester CityNo line posted
11-5-4Manchester City form 2024-25
Home form11-5-4

Manchester City vs Newcastle United moneyline. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreNewcastle United @ Manchester CityNo line posted
52%both teams score %
Manchester45%

Manchester City vs Newcastle United both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 52% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Newcastle United @ Manchester City — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Newcastle United at Manchester City — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Manchester City in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as United vs City, or as City vs United. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Manchester City 27–2 across the last 34 meetings · 5 draws · these games average 3.5 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Feb 2026Newcastle United @ Manchester City2–1Manchester City
22 Nov 2025Manchester City @ Newcastle United2–1Newcastle United
15 Feb 2025Newcastle United @ Manchester City4–0Manchester City
28 Sep 2024Manchester City @ Newcastle United1–1Draw
13 Jan 2024Manchester City @ Newcastle United2–3Manchester City
19 Aug 2023Newcastle United @ Manchester City1–0Manchester City
4 Mar 2023Newcastle United @ Manchester City2–0Manchester City
21 Aug 2022Manchester City @ Newcastle United3–3Draw
8 May 2022Newcastle United @ Manchester City5–0Manchester City
19 Dec 2021Manchester City @ Newcastle United0–4Manchester City

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

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