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Model picks & player props
Newcastle United
VS
Chelsea

Newcastle United vs Chelsea Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 3:09PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stamford Bridge, London
Outdoor
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Newcastle United Head to Head (3-Way) +285

The model graded 2 markets for Newcastle United vs Chelsea (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $385 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win27.8%
The price says26.0%
Best price+285
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Newcastle United Long-shot28% chance +285
Moneyline Long-shot28% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
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Our call on this game: 2 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Newcastle United
+285
+ 1 more market
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All 2 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,565+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Newcastle UnitedHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Chelsea

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ ChelseaNo line posted
8-5-7Chelsea form 2024-25
Newcastle Un28%Home form8-5-7

Chelsea vs Newcastle United moneyline. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreNewcastle United @ ChelseaNo line posted
64%both teams score %
Chelsea50%

Chelsea vs Newcastle United both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 64% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Newcastle United @ Chelsea — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Newcastle United at Chelsea — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Chelsea in the Soccer. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Chelsea 18–10 across the last 34 meetings · 6 draws · these games average 2.7 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Mar 2026Newcastle United @ Chelsea0–1Newcastle United
20 Dec 2025Chelsea @ Newcastle United2–2Draw
11 May 2025Chelsea @ Newcastle United2–0Newcastle United
27 Oct 2024Newcastle United @ Chelsea2–1Chelsea
11 Mar 2024Newcastle United @ Chelsea3–2Chelsea
25 Nov 2023Chelsea @ Newcastle United4–1Newcastle United
28 May 2023Newcastle United @ Chelsea1–1Draw
12 Nov 2022Chelsea @ Newcastle United1–0Newcastle United
13 Mar 2022Newcastle United @ Chelsea1–0Chelsea
30 Oct 2021Chelsea @ Newcastle United0–3Chelsea

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

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