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Model picks & player props
Lille
VS
Nice

Lille vs Nice Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 8:17AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 3:15PM
19
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 3.5 Total Goals -345

The model graded 19 markets for Lille vs Nice (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $129 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 3:15PM at Allianz Riviera.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.7%
The price says73.3%
Best price-345
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 3.5 High74% chance -345
Spread High98% chance —
Total Goals Long-shot27% chance —
Spread High91% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean45% chance —
Moneyline Lean45% chance —
Total Goals High88% chance —
Total Goals Lean52% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean58% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Lille are the model's favourite to beat Nice, with a 55% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 20 Sep, 3:15PM at Allianz Riviera. Best bet: Under 3.5 at -345.
How they've been scoring this season
LilleNice
Won-lost2-0-10-1-2
Goals scored per game1.70.3
Goals allowed per game0.71.3
On the road / at home2-0-0 away0-0-2 at home
Last 5 gamesWDWDLD
Their games average 2.0 total goals this season.
From the 3 Lille and 3 Nice games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
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CASHED
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
3.5
-345
+ 18 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LilleSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LilleSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LilleDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Lille OSC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

OGC Nice

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Lille vs Nice: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineLille @ NiceNo line posted
3-3-2past meetings (last 8)
Home form11-4-5Away form10-4-6
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Nice have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2.

Both Teams to ScoreLille @ NiceNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, both scored
Nice70%Lille65%
past meetings, both scored6 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 70% of Nice's and 65% of Lille's recent matches.

Total GoalsLille @ NiceUnder +2.5 -122
59%model over %
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg3.1
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.1 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them; the model prices Under at 59% here.

Lille @ Nice — what the model found

Our model graded 19 betting markets for Lille at Nice — 19 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

19
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 19 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 18 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Lille @ Nice — model preview

Latest Ligue 1 betting preview: Nice vs Lille. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA player props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, Ligue 1 parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Nice vs Lille: Nice Draw No Bet (+115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Nice in the Draw No Bet market is a solid choice due to their strong performance at home. Nice's home record (3-1-1) is superior to Lille's away record (1-1-3), indicating a higher likelihood of a home win. Additionally, Nice's average team score at home (1.4) surpasses Lille's away score (0.8), further supporting Nice's offensive advantage. Moreover, Nice's average xG (Expected Goals) at home (1.72) is higher than Lille's away xG (1.8), suggesting that Nice creates more high-quality chances at home than Lille does away. Lastly, Nice's average opponent score at home (0.6) is lower than Lille's away (1.4), indicating a stronger defense. This data-driven analysis suggests that Nice has the upper hand in this game, making them a good bet in the Draw No Bet market.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Oct 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Nice ✓ HIT
29 Oct 25 Draw No Bet Nice ✓ HIT
29 Oct 25 Moneyline Nice ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Lille vs Nice in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 20 September 2026 at Allianz Riviera. The model has generated 19 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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