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The latest Bet Better model pick for Darnell Nurse is Over 0.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 45%, the price says 26%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:14PM UTC
NHL

Darnell Nurse

San Jose Sharks

Value call

Darnell Nurse (San Jose Sharks) has one live pick today: Points Over 0.5 that pays $385 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Points Over 0.5 +285 (3.85) · $100→$385
Value call
San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars
American Airlines Center, Dallas, FUT · Indoor
Tue 6 Oct, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
45 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 44.7% · the book's price implies 26.0% · gap +18.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points44.7%—26.0%2.24+18.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks: Darnell Nurse Over 0.5 Points (+285)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tonight, Darnell Nurse needs to get at least one point for this bet to win. He plays for the Dallas Stars, who have been doing pretty well lately, winning half of their last ten games. Plus, they are at home, which usually gives them a nice boost. Nurse has a solid chance of scoring or assisting, especially against the San Jose Sharks, who have also been up and down lately. The Sharks have a mix of shooters, which can make it tricky for goalies. The most concrete risk here is that Nurse isn't always on the ice for scoring chances, but with the Stars riding some momentum, he could definitely find a way to contribute tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Darnell Nurse has 0 goals and 3 assists (3 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
3 Oct 26vs LAK0000221:51
1 Oct 26vs FLA0000217:07
16 Apr 26vs VAN0112020:21
13 Apr 26vs COL0002224:25
11 Apr 26@ LAK0002121:47
8 Apr 26@ SJS0001321:17
7 Apr 26@ UTA0112223:15
4 Apr 26vs VGK0005421:37
2 Apr 26vs CHI0111120:23
31 Mar 26vs SEA0004223:12
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Oct 26 San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars Points — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Darnell Nurse (San Jose Sharks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darnell Nurse is Over 0.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars on Tuesday 6 October at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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