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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Nedeljkovic is Under 26.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 59%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC
NHL

Alex Nedeljkovic

San Jose Sharks

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Under 26.5 -130 (1.77)
+2.2% Edge
San Jose Sharks @ Washington Capitals
Capital One Arena, Washington, FUT · Indoor
Fri 16 Jan, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
58.7%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
24.3 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves58.7%56.5%1.70+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Alex Nedeljkovic (San Jose Sharks) Under 26.5 Saves (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Alex Nedeljkovic for under 26.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is grounded in his recent performance data. Looking at his last 5 away games, Nedeljkovic has averaged only 21.8 saves, well below the line of 26.5. This average decreases further when considering his overall last 5 games, where he's made just 18.8 saves on average. Additionally, the number of shots he faces is also low, with an average of 24.4 shots against in away games and 22.2 overall in his last 5 matches. This suggests that the likelihood of him making over 26.5 saves is low, given the limited opportunities to do so. His hit rate in the last 13 away games is 10/13, indicating he usually comes under this mark. These statistical trends support the model's prediction of 24.31 saves, providing a solid rationale for the Under 26.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.3projected saves (model)
Line26.5Model proj24.3Last oppWSHListed1

Alex Nedeljkovic (San Jose Sharks) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.3 saves against a market line of 26.5 vs WSH. 1 matchup tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Alex Nedeljkovic (San Jose Sharks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Nedeljkovic is Under 26.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is San Jose Sharks vs Washington Capitals on Friday 16 January at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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