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NHL

Tyler Toffoli

San Jose Sharks

Value call

Tyler Toffoli (San Jose Sharks) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $335 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
33 in 100
Predicted
1.9 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 33.4% · before adjusting for past results 43.1% · the book's price implies 29.9% · gap +3.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins
TD Garden, Boston, FUT · Indoor
Sat 24 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Tyler Toffoli
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +235 (3.35) · $100→$335
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 33 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$33.50 Odds+235
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Toffoli is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 33 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 33%, the price says 30%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 8:06AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal43.1%33.4%29.9%3.00+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks: Tyler Toffoli Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+235)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyler Toffoli has been in solid form lately, helping the Boston Bruins win 7 of their last 10 games. He's been active on the ice, taking chances and showing he can get shots off. Playing at TD Garden gives him an extra boost, and the Bruins create plenty of opportunities to score, which increases his chances to hit that mark. On the other hand, the San Jose Sharks have been a bit inconsistent, winning only 5 of their last 10 games. While they can block shots effectively, they still allow chances, so Toffoli has a good shot at getting over 2.5 shots on goal. The biggest risk here is how close the two teams can be, but with Toffoli's current form, it seems like a bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Tyler Toffoli has 4 goals and 4 assists (8 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
22 Oct 26@ OTT1011011:06
20 Oct 26@ MTL1011012:18
19 Oct 26@ TOR0112013:36
17 Oct 26@ DET0000012:03
15 Oct 26@ NSH0113013:32
13 Oct 26vs BOS0005112:44
10 Oct 26vs EDM0001111:25
8 Oct 26@ STL1124115:51
5 Oct 26@ DAL0003114:05
3 Oct 26vs LAK1123114:31
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins Shots on Goal 2.5 Over +235 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tyler Toffoli (San Jose Sharks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Toffoli is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is San Jose Sharks vs Boston Bruins on Saturday 24 October at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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