Mackenzie Blackwood (Colorado Avalanche) Over 21.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Mackenzie Blackwood for Over 21.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is grounded in both his recent performance and the model's predictions. Blackwood has been consistent in home games, with an average of 24.4 saves and a hit rate of 100% over the last 6 games. These figures are significantly higher than the set line of 21.5. Furthermore, the model predicts that Blackwood will make 24.34 saves, exceeding the line by a comfortable margin. The standard deviation of 7.4 also indicates a reasonable degree of consistency in this prediction. While his overall stats are slightly lower, his specific performance at home makes him a strong candidate for this bet. Therefore, it's rational to back Blackwood to make more than 21.5 saves in the upcoming game against the Buffalo Sabres, based on his strong home performance and the predictive model's insight.