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NHL

Brent Burns

Colorado Avalanche

Value call

Brent Burns (Colorado Avalanche) has one live pick today: over 1.5 shots on goal that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
1.6 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.4% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +9.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Fri 16 Oct, 9:00 PM ET
Brent Burns
over 1.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.50 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brent Burns is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 11:50PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal60.4%—51.3%1.66+9.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Brent Burns Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brent Burns has been a strong presence on the ice lately, and he's known for getting plenty of shots off. The Colorado Avalanche have won 4 of their last 10 games, while the Pittsburgh Penguins have won 5 of their last 10, making this matchup pretty competitive. With both teams looking to score, it could lead to more chances for Burns to fire the puck. Betting on him to get over 1.5 shots on goal seems like a smart choice based on how often he finds himself in the right spot. The risk is that both teams are closely matched, so it might be tougher for him to get those shots off. Still, with Burns' talent and the ongoing action at Ball Arena, there's a good chance he'll hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brent Burns's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 1.5
+100 best over price · 10 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games

Brent Burns's shots on goal line is 1.5, best over price +100 across 10 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Shots on Goal 0.5
-500 best over price · 2 books

Brent Burns's shots on goal line is 0.5, best over price -500 across 2 books.

Recent game log

Brent Burns has 0 goals and 4 assists (4 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
14 Oct 26vs DAL0001114:22
13 Oct 26@ DAL0002020:03
10 Oct 26vs TOR0001115:41
8 Oct 26@ CGY0112020:00
7 Oct 26@ WPG0112017:28
3 Oct 26vs STL0002013:10
30 Sep 26vs LAK0110115:23
16 Apr 26vs SEA0111017:14
14 Apr 26@ CGY0000020:29
13 Apr 26@ EDM0002021:40
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brent Burns (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brent Burns is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche on Friday 16 October at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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