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NHL

Brent Burns

Colorado Avalanche

Value call

Brent Burns (Colorado Avalanche) has one live pick today: over 1.5 shots on goal that pays $220 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
1.3 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.1% · before adjusting for past results 57.0% · the book's price implies 45.5% · gap +1.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Jersey Devils @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Wed 28 Oct, 9:00 PM ET
Brent Burns
over 1.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 +120 (2.20) · $100→$220
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00 Odds+120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brent Burns is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 9, 11:52PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal57.0%47.1%45.5%2.13+11.5%

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Avalanche vs New Jersey Devils: Brent Burns Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brent Burns to get over 1.5 shots on goal is priced at +120, which offers solid value considering how he has been performing. The Colorado Avalanche have had some struggles lately, winning only 4 of their last 10 games, but they are known for their high-paced offense. Burns has been an important part of that, and with the Avalanche blocking an average of 14.5 shots a game, he should find opportunities to shoot. On the other hand, the New Jersey Devils have been winning more often, taking 6 of their last 10 games, but their defense is not as strong in blocking shots. They only average 12.1 blocks per game, leaving openings for Burns to take his shots. The risk in this bet is that both teams are close in performance overall, but with the right chances, Burns could definitely hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Brent Burns has 0 goals and 3 assists (3 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
7 Nov 26vs DET0002115:55
5 Nov 26vs NSH0002015:40
3 Nov 26@ CBJ0000018:11
2 Nov 26@ CHI0113018:05
31 Oct 26vs CGY0001017:28
28 Oct 26vs NJD0224217:49
25 Oct 26@ NSH0001012:48
23 Oct 26vs TBL0001218:15
20 Oct 26@ NJD0002015:47
19 Oct 26@ PHI0001015:52
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Oct 26 New Jersey Devils @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal 1.5 Over +120 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 New Jersey Devils @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal 0.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
16 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brent Burns (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brent Burns is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is New Jersey Devils vs Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday 28 October at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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