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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NHL

Nathan MacKinnon

Colorado Avalanche

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -1667 (1.06)
+2.4% Edge
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Mon 6 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
96.8%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value
4.6 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal96.8%94.3%1.03+2.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Here's a wager I'm loving: Nathan MacKinnon cracking over 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming tussle between the Colorado Avalanche and the St. Louis Blues. Now, MacKinnon isn't just a hot hand, he's practically on fire! His home game streak has hit the mark a whopping 23 times in a row. In fact, he's turning the Avalanche's home ice into his personal shooting range, averaging an impressive 7.8 shots in his last five games. His overall game isn't far behind either with a 7.0 shots average. That's not just consistency, that's reliability. And when it comes to betting, isn't that what we're all looking for? In MacKinnon's case, the stats aren't just telling a story, they're singing an anthem. So, when he hits the ice against the Blues, I'm expecting nothing less than another standout performance. MacKinnon for Over

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Shots on GoalModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
4.6projected shots (model)
Line1.5Model proj4.6Last oppSt Louis BluesListed1

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) NHL Shots on Goal: BetBetter's model projects 4.6 shots against a market line of 1.5 vs St Louis Blues. 1 matchup tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

Anytime Goal ScorerModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
72%model goal chance
Last oppCHIListed3

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) NHL Anytime Goal Scorer: BetBetter's model gives a 72% chance to score in the profiled matchup vs CHI. 3 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche on Monday 6 April at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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