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NHL

Nathan MacKinnon

Colorado Avalanche

Value call

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) has one live pick today: over 3.5 shots on goal that pays $174 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
3.7 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.9% · before adjusting for past results 59.0% · the book's price implies 57.5% · gap -8.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Fri 23 Oct, 9:00 PM ET
Nathan MacKinnon
over 3.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 3.5 -135 (1.74) · $100→$174
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.40 Odds-135
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 2:12AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal59.0%48.9%57.5%2.04+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-135)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nathan MacKinnon is a key player for the Colorado Avalanche, and he has a chance to shine against the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Avalanche have been good at blocking shots, but they also need to keep up the pressure on offense. MacKinnon has been getting plenty of opportunities, and with the game at home, he's in a great spot to go for over 3.5 shots on goal. The Lightning have been winning games lately, so they'll bring their best effort. This makes it possible for MacKinnon to have more chances, but the close competition means he could face tough defense as well. Overall, MacKinnon hitting over 3.5 shots feels promising, but it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan MacKinnon's lines for Sat 24 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 3.5

Nathan MacKinnon's shots on goal line is 3.5.

Recent game log

Nathan MacKinnon has 6 goals and 10 assists (16 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
20 Oct 26@ NJD0005321:19
19 Oct 26@ PHI0001024:20
16 Oct 26vs PIT1349022:59
14 Oct 26vs DAL0004025:22
13 Oct 26@ DAL0222020:01
10 Oct 26vs TOR2028023:56
8 Oct 26@ CGY1232018:42
7 Oct 26@ WPG0001020:11
3 Oct 26vs STL0334018:16
30 Sep 26vs LAK2028217:44
Quick answers:How many points does Nathan MacKinnon average?How many shots on goal does Nathan MacKinnon average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Oct 26 Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche Points 1.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
14 Oct 26 Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal 3.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche Assists 0.5 Under +140 ✓ HIT
20 Oct 26 Colorado Avalanche @ New Jersey Devils Points — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Colorado Avalanche @ Philadelphia Flyers Shots on Goal — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Colorado Avalanche @ Philadelphia Flyers Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche on Friday 23 October at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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