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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:31PM UTC
NHL

Nathan MacKinnon

Colorado Avalanche

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+2.4% Edge
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Mon 6 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
96.8%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value
4.6 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal96.8%94.3%1.03+2.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Here's a wager I'm loving: Nathan MacKinnon cracking over 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming tussle between the Colorado Avalanche and the St. Louis Blues. Now, MacKinnon isn't just a hot hand, he's practically on fire! His home game streak has hit the mark a whopping 23 times in a row. In fact, he's turning the Avalanche's home ice into his personal shooting range, averaging an impressive 7.8 shots in his last five games. His overall game isn't far behind either with a 7.0 shots average. That's not just consistency, that's reliability. And when it comes to betting, isn't that what we're all looking for? In MacKinnon's case, the stats aren't just telling a story, they're singing an anthem. So, when he hits the ice against the Blues, I'm expecting nothing less than another standout performance. MacKinnon for Over

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Nathan MacKinnon has 5 goals and 5 assists (10 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
14 Apr 26@ CGY1014021:08
13 Apr 26@ EDM0002027:57
11 Apr 26vs VGK0006021:38
9 Apr 26vs CGY1236122:23
7 Apr 26@ STL0110321:08
5 Apr 26vs STL0005021:38
4 Apr 26@ DAL1012020:47
1 Apr 26vs VAN1017424:21
30 Mar 26vs CGY1235319:20
28 Mar 26vs WPG0003122:36
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche on Monday 6 April at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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