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NHL

Nathan MacKinnon

Colorado Avalanche

Value call

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) has one live pick today: over 3.5 shots on goal that pays $208 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
2.8 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 41.5% · before adjusting for past results 55.2% · the book's price implies 48.1% · gap -6.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, FUT · Indoor
Thu 12 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Nathan MacKinnon
over 3.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 3.5 +108 (2.08) · $100→$208
Value call
LEANWins about 41 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.80 Odds+108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 41 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 41%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 12:53AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
day-to-day
updated Nov 13, 2:06AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal55.2%41.5%48.1%2.41+7.1%

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AI Analysis

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Ottawa Senators vs Colorado Avalanche: Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds of +108 for Nathan MacKinnon to have over 3.5 shots on goal look pretty good. He's been a key player for the Colorado Avalanche, and even though they have won 6 of their last 10 games, Ottawa is tough at home. The Senators block a good number of shots each game, but MacKinnon has a knack for getting pucks on net, especially in high-pressure situations. The risk here is that Ottawa can be a tricky opponent, and their strong defense may limit chances. Still, MacKinnon's skill and the fact that he's on a team that puts up a lot of offense make this a solid pick. It's going to be a close game, but I think he can find ways to get those shots off.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Nathan MacKinnon has 4 goals and 10 assists (14 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
12 Nov 26@ OTT0002011:33
10 Nov 26@ TOR0003020:38
7 Nov 26vs DET1234020:17
5 Nov 26vs NSH0001424:00
3 Nov 26@ CBJ0221019:28
2 Nov 26@ CHI0112119:25
31 Oct 26vs CGY1125019:06
28 Oct 26vs NJD1012019:00
25 Oct 26@ NSH0112119:49
23 Oct 26vs TBL1344018:10
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Oct 26 Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal 3.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal 3.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
14 Oct 26 Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche Points 1.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Shots on Goal — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Shots on Goal — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan MacKinnon is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators on Thursday 12 November at Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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