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NHL

Martin Necas

Colorado Avalanche

Value call

Martin Necas (Colorado Avalanche) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $310 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
31 in 100
Predicted
0.3 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 31.2% · before adjusting for past results 40.8% · the book's price implies 32.3% · gap -1.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Fri 23 Oct, 9:00 PM ET
Martin Necas
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 +210 (3.10) · $100→$310
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 31 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$31.00 Odds+210
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Martin Necas is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 31 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 31%, the price says 32%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 10:28PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals40.8%31.2%32.3%3.21+8.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Martin Necas Over 0.5 Goals (+210)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Colorado Avalanche have shown some solid moments lately, winning 5 of their last 10 games. They have been blocking a fair number of shots, which helps on defense, but they also land fewer hits than the league average. On the flip side, the Tampa Bay Lightning are in great form, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Their shooting style, with most players using left shots, could challenge the Avalanche's defense. Betting on Martin Necas to score at least one goal seems promising here. He's got a real shot to find the back of the net, especially with both teams having a lot at stake. The biggest risk is that the Avalanche's recent defensive play could stifle scoring chances. Still, the odds of +210 make this an exciting pick to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Martin Necas has 6 goals and 7 assists (13 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
23 Oct 26vs TBL1231016:32
20 Oct 26@ NJD0003119:05
19 Oct 26@ PHI1012117:40
16 Oct 26vs PIT0331120:58
14 Oct 26vs DAL0000022:24
13 Oct 26@ DAL2022023:24
10 Oct 26vs TOR0112324:07
8 Oct 26@ CGY0002017:18
7 Oct 26@ WPG0003020:33
3 Oct 26vs STL2134119:21
Quick answers:How many points does Martin Necas average?How many shots on goal does Martin Necas average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche Goals 0.5 Over +210 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Martin Necas (Colorado Avalanche) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Martin Necas is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche on Friday 23 October at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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