Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
NHL

Kirill Marchenko

Toronto Maple Leafs

Value call

Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
2.6 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.6% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap +5.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, FUT · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:30 PM ET
Kirill Marchenko
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.00 Odds+100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kirill Marchenko is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:28PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal55.6%—50.0%1.80+5.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Kirill Marchenko Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Kirill Marchenko to go over 2.5 shots on goal tonight, he needs to be active and find good chances against the Calgary Flames. The Flames are decent at blocking shots, but they allow players to get their looks. Marchenko has been getting involved in the game lately, and with the Flames giving up enough opportunities, he could find himself with chances to shoot. Both teams are close in form, but the Flames have only won 4 of their last 10 games, which shows they might struggle defensively. Marchenko's ability to get shots off will be key, and he might find the room to do it. The biggest risk is that both teams play tight, but if he gets a couple of good chances, he could easily go over that mark.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Kirill Marchenko's lines for Tue 27 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 2.5
-104 best over price · 11 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Kirill Marchenko's shots on goal line is 2.5, best over price -104 across 11 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

Shots on Goal 3.5
+220 best over price · 1 book

Kirill Marchenko's shots on goal line is 3.5, best over price +220 across 1 book.

Recent game log

Kirill Marchenko has 5 goals and 7 assists (12 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
24 Oct 26@ EDM0221015:47
22 Oct 26vs NYR1014418:23
20 Oct 26@ CBJ1012319:17
19 Oct 26vs SJS0112117:21
17 Oct 26vs NYI0005016:45
15 Oct 26vs BUF3033318:36
13 Oct 26@ UTA0112018:41
10 Oct 26@ COL0110116:53
8 Oct 26@ VGK0113018:20
6 Oct 26vs NSH0113021:35
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kirill Marchenko is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames on Monday 26 October at Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.