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NHL

Luke Evangelista

New Jersey Devils

Value call

Luke Evangelista (New Jersey Devils) has one live pick today: over 1.5 goals that pays $3,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.3 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 5.6% · before adjusting for past results 7.2% · the book's price implies 3.2% · gap +2.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Ottawa Senators @ New Jersey Devils
Prudential Center, New Jersey, FUT · Indoor
Mon 12 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Luke Evangelista
over 1.5 goals
Goals Over 1.5 +3000 (31.00) · $100→$3,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$310.00 Odds+3000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Evangelista is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 4:28AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals7.2%5.6%3.2%17.81+4.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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New Jersey Devils vs Ottawa Senators: Luke Evangelista Over 1.5 Goals (+3000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The New Jersey Devils and Ottawa Senators both have solid scoring chances, which makes this matchup interesting. They've each won five out of their last ten games, showing they can find the back of the net. With players like Luke Evangelista, who can create plays, there's a good chance we'll see some goals. Betting on over 1.5 goals feels like a smart move here, especially since both teams are in a good scoring rhythm. However, the biggest risk is that both teams are pretty evenly matched, so it could turn into a tight game. Still, the potential for excitement is there, and that's what makes this pick fun!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Luke Evangelista has 5 goals and 6 assists (11 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
24 Oct 26vs LAK0114216:26
22 Oct 26vs ANA0112017:16
20 Oct 26vs COL1126016:54
12 Oct 26vs OTT0000011:43
10 Oct 26vs VAN0003018:57
6 Oct 26vs UTA2022018:18
3 Oct 26@ NYI0003018:55
1 Oct 26vs PHI0114118:10
16 Apr 26vs ANA0223214:22
13 Apr 26vs SJS2023019:06
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Luke Evangelista (New Jersey Devils) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Evangelista is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Ottawa Senators vs New Jersey Devils on Monday 12 October at Prudential Center, New Jersey. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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