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The latest Bet Better model pick for Timo Meier is Under 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NHL

Timo Meier

New Jersey Devils

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Under 3.5 -179 (1.56)
+2.5% Edge
Seattle Kraken @ New Jersey Devils
Prudential Center, New Jersey, FUT · Indoor
Thu 15 Jan, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
66.6%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
2.4 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal66.6%—64.1%1.50+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Timo Meier (New Jersey Devils) Under 3.5 Shots On Goal (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Timo Meier for Under 3.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is largely informed by his recent performance data and the model's prediction. Looking at Meier's last five (L5) home games, he averaged 1.8 shots on goal, significantly below the line of 3.5. This trend continues when analyzing his overall L5 games, where he averaged 2.4 shots. The model's prediction of 2.4 shots also supports the bet, falling below the 3.5 line set by the bookmaker. Furthermore, Meier's home games hit streak sits at 3, reinforcing the trend of his shots not exceeding the set line. These statistical insights, in combination with the model's prediction, suggest a strong likelihood that Meier's shots on goal will fall under 3.5, making this a reasonable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Shots on GoalModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
2.4projected shots (model)
Line3.5Model proj2.4Last oppSEAListed2

Timo Meier (New Jersey Devils) NHL Shots on Goal: BetBetter's model projects 2.4 shots against a market line of 3.5 vs SEA. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Timo Meier (New Jersey Devils) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Timo Meier is Under 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Kraken vs New Jersey Devils on Thursday 15 January at Prudential Center, New Jersey. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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