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Model picks & player props
NHL
Amerant Bank Arena, Florida
Indoor
Sat 27 Dec 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Florida Panthers

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 8 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers and backs Florida Panthers hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $189.

8
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Florida Panthers
to win
Florida Panthers Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93Best price-112
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win68.6%
The price says52.9%

The model graded 8 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 27 Dec 2025, 7:00 PM ET at Amerant Bank Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Florida Panthers High69% chance -112
Moneyline Members only High63% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High99% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High96% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers last met on Sat 27 Dec 2025. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Florida Panthers
-112
+ 7 more markets
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All 8 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Florida PanthersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida PanthersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Emil Lilleberg DOut
  • Yanni Gourde COut

Florida Panthers

  • Eetu Luostarinen CDay-to-day
  • Brad Marchand LWOut
  • Aleksander Barkov COut
  • Jonah Gadjovich LWOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 1:20AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Florida PanthersNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G1.8Shots/G26.8vs Lightning2-3

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineFlorida Panthers -1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G1.8Shots/G26.8vs Lightning2-3

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers — 8 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers — recent results

Florida Panthers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 4 of their last 5.

Florida Panthers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4MINHome
W2–1LAAway
L2–3ANAAway
L3–4SJAway
W1–0CARAway
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3NYIAway
W3–2MINHome
W4–1PHIHome
W3–1WSHHome
L1–5NYRAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Florida Panthers won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2.

DateFlorida PanthersTampa Bay LightningWinner
Sep 2623Tampa Bay Lightning
Sep 2453Florida Panthers
Feb 616Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Florida Panthers
PlayerStatus
Eetu Luostarinen CDAY-TO-DAY
Brad Marchand LWOUT
Aleksander Barkov COUT
Jonah Gadjovich LWOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Emil Lilleberg DOUT
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers — model preview

Latest NHL betting preview: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Sergei Bobrovsky. Keywords: NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Sergei Bobrovsky (Florida Panthers) Over 21.5 Saves (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Sergei Bobrovsky for over 21.5 total saves is supported by both the model's prediction and the player's recent performance. Bobrovsky's L5 overall saves average is 23, exceeding the line of 21.5, which indicates his consistent ability to make a high number of saves. Moreover, Bobrovsky's L5 overall shots against average is 25.8, which suggests that he is likely to face a similar number of shots in the upcoming game, providing ample opportunities for saves. The model's prediction of 24.24 further supports this, projecting that Bobrovsky will surpass the set line. Additionally, Bobrovsky's overall current hit streak of 3 games adds to the credibility of this bet, indicating that he is currently in form. Therefore, the combination of Bobrovsky's recent performance and the model's prediction make a compelling case for betting over 21.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Panthers, or as Panthers vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Saturday 27 December 2025 at Amerant Bank Arena. The model has generated 8 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 26 Sep 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers: the Lightning won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
26 Sep 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers2–3Tampa Bay Lightning
24 Sep 2026Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning3–5Florida Panthers
6 Feb 2026Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–1Tampa Bay Lightning
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