Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Florida Panthers

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 9:12AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Amerant Bank Arena, Florida
Indoor
Sun 28 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Florida Panthers Moneyline -112

The model graded 7 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Amerant Bank Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win68.6%
The price says52.9%
Best price-112
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Florida Panthers High69% chance -112
Moneyline High60% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
Puck Lines High96% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Florida Panthers
-112
+ 6 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 7 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,430+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Florida PanthersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida PanthersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

Florida Panthers

  • Radko Gudas DOut
  • Jacob Markstrom GOut
  • Carter Verhaeghe COut
  • Sam Bennett COut
  • Gustav Forsling DOut
  • Seth Jones DOut
  • Dmitry Kulikov DOut
  • Uvis Balinskis DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 3:41PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Florida PanthersNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineFlorida Panthers -1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers — recent results

Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5.

Florida Panthers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–1DETHome
W3–2NYRHome
W6–2TORAway
L1–5OTTAway
L3–4MTLAway
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Florida Panthers won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateFlorida PanthersTampa Bay LightningWinner
Feb 616Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Florida Panthers
PlayerStatus
Radko Gudas DOUT
Jacob Markstrom GOUT
Carter Verhaeghe COUT
Sam Bennett COUT
Gustav Forsling DOUT
Seth Jones DOUT
Dmitry Kulikov DOUT
Uvis Balinskis DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers — model preview

Latest NHL betting preview: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Sergei Bobrovsky. Keywords: NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Sergei Bobrovsky (Florida Panthers) Over 21.5 Saves (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Sergei Bobrovsky for over 21.5 total saves is supported by both the model's prediction and the player's recent performance. Bobrovsky's L5 overall saves average is 23, exceeding the line of 21.5, which indicates his consistent ability to make a high number of saves. Moreover, Bobrovsky's L5 overall shots against average is 25.8, which suggests that he is likely to face a similar number of shots in the upcoming game, providing ample opportunities for saves. The model's prediction of 24.24 further supports this, projecting that Bobrovsky will surpass the set line. Additionally, Bobrovsky's overall current hit streak of 3 games adds to the credibility of this bet, indicating that he is currently in form. Therefore, the combination of Bobrovsky's recent performance and the model's prediction make a compelling case for betting over 21.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Panthers, or as Panthers vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 December 2025 at Amerant Bank Arena. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Feb 2026Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–1Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.