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Model picks & player props
Edmonton Oilers
VS
Dallas Stars

Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Fri 13 Mar 2026, 12:00AM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 6.5 (Total Goals)
For Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars (NHL), model win probability 99.0%, fair odds 1.01, book price -141, model edge +41.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 13 Mar 2026, 12:00AM at American Airlines Center.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Goals
Under
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Edmonton OilersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Edmonton OilersPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Edmonton OilersPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Edmonton Oilers

  • Adam Henrique COut

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 6:06PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Dallas StarsNo line posted

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineEdmonton Oilers +1.5No line posted

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NHL parlay odds, hockey parlay.</p>

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers : Under 10.5 Total Goals (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 10.5' bet is compelling when considering recent performance and scoring statistics of both teams. Dallas Stars' last five home games averaged a low 0.4 goals, while the Edmonton Oilers only averaged 0.2 goals in their last five away games. The defensive stats also favor a low-scoring game, with Dallas Stars allowing an average of 2 goals and Edmonton Oilers allowing 2.2 in the same respective games. Furthermore, the model prediction is significantly low at 1.34, well below the 10.5 line. Both teams also have low power-play goal averages, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring match. Overall, the scoring and defensive statistics for both teams, coupled with the model's prediction, strongly suggest that the total goals scored in the game will be under 10.5.

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers : Dallas Stars +3.5 (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Dallas Stars have struggled recently, with a 1-4 record in their last five games overall and at home. They've been underperforming offensively, with an average of just 0.4 goals per game. However, the large spread of 3.5 points could help them cover the bet. The Stars have shown they can compete with the Oilers, holding a 2-3 record in their last five meetings. The model prediction of -0.02 indicates a tight match, which could work in favor of the Stars with a spread this large. The Oilers, while more successful recently, have only averaged 0.2 goals more than the Stars in their last five games. These factors make a bet on the Stars covering a 3.5 spread a reasonable choice.

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers : Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the Edmonton Oilers with a 1.5 puck line advantage is appealing when we analyze the recent performance data for both teams. The Oilers have an impressive L5 overall record of 4-1, compared to the Dallas Stars' underwhelming 1-4. This trend continues in their respective away and home records, with the Oilers again outperforming the Stars. Furthermore, the Oilers have a superior goals against average in their last 5 overall and away games, suggesting a stronger defensive performance than the Stars. This is reinforced by the model's prediction of -0.02, indicating a slight edge towards the Oilers. While both teams have low scoring averages, the Oilers' stronger defensive record provides a crucial advantage. Therefore, the Oilers' recent form and defensive strength make them a solid bet with a 1.5 puck line.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 13 March 2026 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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