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Model picks & player props
Calgary Flames
VS
Chicago Blackhawks

Calgary Flames vs Chicago Blackhawks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
United Center, Chicago
Indoor
Fri 16 Jan 2026, 1:30AM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Calgary Flames (Moneyline)
For Calgary Flames vs Chicago Blackhawks (NHL), model win probability 63.9%, fair odds 1.56, book price -106, model edge +12.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 16 Jan 2026, 1:30AM at United Center.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Calgary Flames
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Calgary FlamesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Calgary FlamesPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Calgary Flames

  • Kevin Bahl DOut
  • Connor Zary COut
  • Yan Kuznetsov DOut

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Connor Bedard COut
  • Andrew Mangiapane LWOut
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:42PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Calgary Flames vs Chicago Blackhawks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Calgary FlamesNo line posted

Calgary Flames @ Chicago Blackhawks moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineCalgary Flames -1.5No line posted

Calgary Flames @ Chicago Blackhawks puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Calgary Flames @ Chicago Blackhawks total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Calgary Flames @ Chicago Blackhawks — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames. Includes analysis on key players like Arvid Soderblom. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames stats and odds.</p>

Arvid Soderblom (Chicago Blackhawks) Under 27.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Arvid Soderblom for Under 27.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is primarily driven by his performance data and model insights. Soderblom's L5 home games demonstrate an average of 27.2 saves, which is slightly below the proposed line of 27.5. This trend suggests a propensity for Soderblom to remain under the line. Additionally, his L5 home games show an average of 30.8 shots against him, indicating that not every shot requires a save. The model prediction of 24.66, albeit with a standard deviation of 7.5, further supports the likelihood of him staying under the line. Moreover, despite a strong home games hit streak, his overall current hit streak is zero, suggesting a potential downturn in performance. Therefore, based on these statistical trends and model predictions, betting under 27.5 for Soderblom's total saves seems reasonable.

Connor Bedard (Chicago Blackhawks) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The wager on Connor Bedard to score at any time during the Blackhawks vs Flames game is backed by several performance indicators. Bedard's average of 1 goal per game in his last five home games, along with an average of 4.8 shots per game, demonstrate his offensive presence when playing at home. These statistics are further supported by his overall performance, averaging 0.8 goals and 3.6 shots per game in his last five games. His hit rate also strengthens this bet - he has scored in 3 out of his last 4 home games, and 4 out of his last 5 overall. Although his current home games hit streak is 0, his high goal average and positive hit rate suggest that he is due for a goal. These factors, in conjunction with the model prediction, underline the potential value in this bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Calgary Flames vs Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 16 January 2026 at United Center. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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