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NFL

Roman Wilson

PIT

Value call

Roman Wilson has one live pick today: under 41.5 receiving yards that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
38.8 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.5% · before adjusting for past results 62.0% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Roman Wilson
under 41.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 41.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.00 Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roman Wilson is Under 41.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 9:03PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards62.0%50.5%52.6%2.01+9.4%

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts: Roman Wilson Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Pittsburgh Steelers are known for their strong defense, especially against running backs, giving up the fewest touchdowns in the league last season. This makes it tough for any offense to find easy points. Roman Wilson might struggle to rack up receiving yards against the Steelers' tough secondary, which has made life hard for many wide receivers. While our numbers give this bet a good chance, there's a solid risk here since Wilson's performance can vary based on how well the Colts' offense protects their quarterback. If he faces extra pressure, it could limit his opportunities to catch the ball. So, betting on under 41.5 receiving yards for Wilson seems like a smart choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (31 picks) 58.1% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards44 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–89.5model over93%tips tracked44

Roman Wilson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 44 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions29 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over61%tips tracked29

Roman Wilson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 29 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards 41.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards 40.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -435 ✗ MISS
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Roman Wilson (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 58.1% on tracked Roman Wilson picks. The latest model pick for Roman Wilson is Under 41.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 11 October at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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