Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roman Wilson is Over 59.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 10%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 8:43PM UTC
NFL
Roman Wilson
PIT
Roman Wilson has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 59.5 that pays $980 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 59.5
+880 (9.80) · $100→$980
Value call
Pittsburgh Steelers
@
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland · Indoor
Fri 2 Oct, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Wilson caught three of six targets for 60 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Bengals.
updated Sep 28, 2:49AM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
31.9 Receiving Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 7.4% · before adjusting for past results 11.7% · the book's price implies 10.2% · gap -2.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 11.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.80 | +1.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Roman Wilson (PIT) Over 59.5 Player reception yds alternate (+880)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Cleveland Browns play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Friday 2 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Roman Wilson (PIT) Over 59.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at +880 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $98 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Roman Wilson's lines for Fri 2 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5
Roman Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Roman Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Roman Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Roman Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
+140 best over price · 12 books
Roman Wilson's receptions (alt) line is 2.5, best over price +140 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 1.5
+140 best over price · 12 books
Roman Wilson's receptions (alt) line is 1.5, best over price +140 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 0.5
+140 best over price · 12 books
Roman Wilson's receptions (alt) line is 0.5, best over price +140 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 5.5
+140 best over price · 12 books
Roman Wilson's receptions (alt) line is 5.5, best over price +140 across 12 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Cleveland BrownsO 14.5 -172 14.5posted line · receiving yds
Roman Wilson has a live NFL receiving yards market for Cleveland Browns: over 14.5 receiving yds priced at -172.
ReceptionsNext game · Cleveland BrownsO 2.5 +134 2.5posted line · receptions
Roman Wilson has a live NFL receptions market for Cleveland Browns: over 2.5 receptions priced at +134.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 27 Sep 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receptions (Alt) |
1.5 |
Over |
-263 |
✓ HIT |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
59.5 |
Over |
+790 |
✓ HIT |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
49.5 |
Over |
+400 |
✓ HIT |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Roman Wilson (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roman Wilson is Over 59.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns on Friday 2 October at Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.