Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz, targeting Ace Bailey for under 2.5 threes feels like the right play. Although Bailey has been on fire, hitting threes at a blistering rate, let's consider the context. Playing away, he's been remarkably efficient, yet the Jazz's defensive schemes could stifle his perimeter opportunities. They've adjusted well against shooters, limiting opponents to just 32% from deep over the last month. Moreover, Bailey's hit rate on the road paints a different picture; he's only managed to sink three or more threes in his last four away games. With the Jazz known for their physicality and the crowd energy working against him, it's likely he'll struggle to find his rhythm. With a solid overall hit rate but facing a tough matchup, betting on Bailey to stay under 2.5 threes seems like a smart play.

Kyle Filipowski (Utah Jazz) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Jazz gear up to face the Pelicans, all eyes will be on Kyle Filipowski, but here's a reason to consider betting the under on his rebounds at 9.5. While he boasts a solid average of 10.4 over his last five games, his numbers tell a different story on the road, dipping to just 8.2 rebounds away from home. The Jazz's matchup against the Pelicans has historically been tough for him, with an average of 8.4 boards when facing them, and he's only managed 9.5 in away games against this opponent recently.With a hit rate of 9 out of 12 overall, Filipowski is certainly capable, but the odds favor a regression to his away average. Given the environment and the trends, betting the under feels like a smart play here. The numbers align, suggesting he'll struggle to cross that 9.5 threshold in New Orleans.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Cody Williams steps into the matchup against the Utah Jazz, the spotlight on his rebounding numbers tells a compelling story. While his recent performances have shown he can grab an average of 5 boards, the away games have been less kind, with only 4.4 rebounds per game. Against the Jazz, his historical data shows he's managed just 2 rebounds in their last away encounter, and a mere 1.8 overall in recent contests against them. With a model projecting just 3.7 rebounds for this game, taking the under on 4.5 feels like a savvy move. The Pelicans are facing a tough Jazz frontcourt, which could further limit his chances. With a hit rate of only 3 out of the last 4 on the road, it's clear that this might be a night where Williams finds himself battling for boards rather than dominating the glass.

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