Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When looking at Ace Bailey's recent performance, it's clear we should consider the Under on his threes made in this matchup against the Utah Jazz. Over the last four away games, Bailey has consistently hit the mark, but the numbers tell a different story on the road. The Jazz will likely tighten their perimeter defense, making it harder for him to find open looks. While he's been hot lately, hitting 3-of-3 in his last outings, the Pelicans are playing in a tough environment where Bailey has struggled to maintain that same rhythm. With the odds leaning towards under 2.5, the implied probability of 52.4% suggests that a slight regression is expected. Given the stakes and the defensive prowess of Utah, Bailey might just fall short of that three-pointer threshold in what promises to be a gritty contest.

Kyle Filipowski (Utah Jazz) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz face off against the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Kyle Filipowski. Although he's been a strong rebounder lately, averaging 10.4 boards over his last five games, his performance takes a noticeable dip on the road. In fact, Filipowski's away average drops to just 8.2 rebounds, and he's only managed 8.4 against the Pelicans historically. With the Jazz's style of play emphasizing perimeter shooting, the rebounding opportunities for Filipowski could diminish significantly. Plus, in their last six away games, he's hit the under on 5 of those occasions. Given that the expected stat value sits at 8.65, betting the under on 9.5 seems to be a savvy move. Betting against the grain when the numbers suggest a regression can often pay off, and this matchup feels ripe for just that.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Utah Jazz, Cody Williams finds himself in a tough spot, especially on the boards. While he's shown flashes with an average of 5 rebounds over his last five games, that includes a dip to just 4.4 when he's playing away from home. Historically, against the Jazz, he's struggled, managing only 1.8 rebounds per game over their last few encounters, and it drops to 2 when he's on the road.With an expected stat value of just 3.7, the under on 4.5 rebounds feels like a shrewd play, especially given that he's hit this mark only 3 out of his last 4 away games. The Pelicans will likely focus on perimeter shooting, which could limit his rebounding opportunities even further. In this matchup, betting on Williams to stay under 4.5 rebounds seems like a smart move.

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