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NCAAF

Joe Jackson

Kansas State

Value call

Joe Jackson (Kansas State) has one live pick today: over 40.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
46.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.9% · before adjusting for past results 55.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -5.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats
Sat 7 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Joe Jackson
over 40.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joe Jackson is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 7, 4:13AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards55.2%47.9%53.2%2.00+5.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Kansas State Wildcats vs Oklahoma State Cowboys: Joe Jackson Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Kansas State Wildcats host Oklahoma State Cowboys in college football. The bet we are looking at is Joe Jackson Over 40.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Joe Jackson finishes with more than 40.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (24 picks) 58.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Joe Jackson's lines for Sat 7 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 40.5
-114 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Joe Jackson's rushing yards line is 40.5, best over price -114 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils Rushing Yards 74.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils Rushing Yards 79.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils Rushing Yards 70.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Kansas Jayhawks @ Kansas State Wildcats Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Kansas Jayhawks @ Kansas State Wildcats Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Kansas Jayhawks @ Kansas State Wildcats Rush Attempts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Joe Jackson (Kansas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 58.3% on tracked Joe Jackson picks. The latest model pick for Joe Jackson is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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