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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 24 Oct 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Kansas State Wildcats
4-2 · 0-1 awayWWLLW
VS
Arizona State Sun Devils
3-3 · 2-1 at homeLWLWL
Our model's predicted score: Arizona State Sun Devils 29 – Kansas State Wildcats 29.4

Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction & Picks · Sat 24 Oct

Model updated Oct 20, 6:07PM UTC

Our model graded 5 markets for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils and backs Arizona State Sun Devils hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $240.

5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Arizona State Sun Devils
to win
Arizona State Sun Devils Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$24.00Best price+140
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.9%
The price says40.3%

The model graded 5 markets for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $240 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 Oct 2026, 3:45 PM ET.

Saturday 24 October 2026: Kansas State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Arizona State Sun Devils Lean46% chance +140
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean47% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Kansas State Wildcats are the model's favourite to beat Arizona State Sun Devils, with a 51% chance to win. Predicted score: Arizona State Sun Devils 29 – Kansas State Wildcats 29.4. Kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 3:45 PM ET. Best bet: Arizona State Sun Devils at +140.
How they've been scoring this season
Kansas State WildcatsArizona State Sun Devils
Won-lost4-23-3
Points scored per game35.531.3
Points allowed per game20.032.0
On the road / at home0-1 away2-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLLWLWLWL
Their games average 59.4 total points this season.
From the 6 Kansas State Wildcats and 6 Arizona State Sun Devils games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Wildcats about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Wildcatsabout 6 in 10$1.67 (-149)$1.62 (-161)
Devilsabout 4 in 10$2.49 (+149)$2.42 (+142)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.00 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 18 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Arizona State Sun Devils
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Arizona State Sun DevilsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona State Sun DevilsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona State Sun DevilsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Arizona State Sun Devils on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Arizona State Sun Devils
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Kansas State Wildcats
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas State Wildcats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Arizona State Sun Devils

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 21 Oct

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils play Kansas State Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Arizona State Sun Devils +3 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arizona State Sun Devils +3 on the Line (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arizona State Sun Devils 3 Point Spread. On this line Arizona State Sun Devils start with 3 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 56.5 Total Points (-106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 56.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 56.5 points between them. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.43 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.43 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Arizona State Sun Devils to Win (+140)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arizona State Sun Devils Moneyline. This one only needs Arizona State Sun Devils to win the game. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Arizona State Sun Devils v Kansas State Wildcats. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk

Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Kansas State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils — where the money went

Since betting opened on Kansas State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils, the market has moved away from Arizona State Sun Devils across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Arizona State Sun Devils▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Kansas State Wildcats▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 56▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 56▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 54.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 54.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Kansas State Wildcats -4▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Arizona State Sun Devils 4▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils — model preview

Arizona State Sun Devils v Kansas State Wildcats, 24 October 2026. Top of the list: Arizona State Sun Devils +3 on the Line. Here is why, in plain English.

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils play Kansas State Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Arizona State Sun Devils +3 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arizona State Sun Devils +3 on the Line (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arizona State Sun Devils 3 Point Spread. On this line Arizona State Sun Devils start with 3 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRivers. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Wildcats vs Devils, or as Devils vs Wildcats. The next scheduled game is Saturday 24 October 2026. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

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